20/02/2021
The article starts with a great hope of a structured studied commentary on the subject but drifts away right from the beginning. The key findings have been placed without any study of data.
2. The very assumption that the dam has a design life of 100 years or 50 years is unfounded. The authors are confused about the life of reservoirs behind the dam with the structure of the dam. The structure of the dam has no design life. It stands for centuries. Concrete is young at an age of 100 years while embankments become part of the earth's surface as they age. So the life is about reservoirs that can be silted and become hydrologically unserviceable, that too, on economic criteria and again that too if not properly maintained. The use of public money particularly in populated countries like India is to keep the reservoirs in service condition for eternity to ensure water security and in turn food security.
3.(i) Very few dams have FAILED (uncontrollable water release) out of thousands of dams standing. The percentage won't come on many decimal places.
(ii) Out of the few dam failures, most of the dam failures recorded in India and the world over are in the first 5 years particularly during the first filling which some dam owners had not done under the supervision of designers. The new dam safety act passed by Loksabha and under consideration of Rajya Sabha provides for such first filling in the supervision of experts from proposed regulators.
(iii). Very few dams have ever failed after that period due to some very rare combination of natural forces. The axiom is that if a dam has stood for 100 years, there is no reason why it will not stand next year.
4. The author has completely mixed "dam safety issues of ageing dams" and risk associated with ageing dams. There may be some issues cropping up with time regarding structural or hydrological or other safety aspects of the dams but that is a very slow process, manifesting very visibly to the owners as well as those who maintain it and are addressed well before they become a threat to safety. Many of these issues are affecting only the gainful utilisation of water behind them in an economic and efficient manner which are not affecting any failure mode. That is why there is little chance of failure of existing large dams which are ageing.
5. To address these dam safety issues, there is already a mechanism working for decades where Dam safety Organisation under CWC is providing institutional support to the dam owners which are largely state govts or PSUs to follow protocols of regular pre-monsoon and post-monsoon inspection, periodic comprehensive review of safety aspects, the formation of rule curves, operation and maintenance manuals, keeping emergency preparedness etc.
6. To formalise this informal institutional framework (and not panicking that 5000 dams are on verge of failure because of ageing), the Government of India has proposed Dam Safety Legislation which will give legal authority to such institutional framework.
7. The dams and reservoirs need to function for as long as possible if not eternity to ensure the water and food security of the populous nations starving not only for basic needs but raising their aspirational life standards. All efforts of Dam Owners, State govern,ments and Central Government are directed to keep these dams safe, address all safety issues in time and ensure that instances of dam failure with age becomes "perfect zero" from "near zero"
India must analyse the costs versus benefits of its ageing dams, and conduct timely safety reviews in order to ensure safety of the structures, and the safety of those who inhabit the areas downstream