22/08/2026
๐ ๐๐น๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐ฎ๐น๐น ๐ณ๐ฟ๐ผ๐บ ๐ข๐๐๐ป: ๐ช๐ต๐ ๐๐ฏ๐ถ๐ฎ ๐ข๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ๐ผ๐ป ๐๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ๐บ๐ฎ๐ถ๐น ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐น๐น๐ผ๐ ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐.
๐๐ฒ ๐๐ก๐ซ๐ข๐ฌ๐ญ๐ข๐๐ง ๐๐๐ก๐ ๐๐ง๐จ๐ค๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ซ๐ฎ, ๐๐ก๐
The political landscape of Nigeria is often described as a turbulent sea, but occasionally, the waters part to reveal a profound truth that transcends regional boundaries. The recent gubernatorial election in Osun State serves as one such moment of clarity. It was not merely a contest for the soul of a single state; it was a referendum on the strategies employed by political actors across the federation.
As the dust settles on the Osun result, a clear message has been sent to all opposition elements, particularly those in Abia State, whose current trajectory seems dangerously fixated on the politics of personal destruction rather than the advancement of the people. The verdict from Osun is unambiguous: cheap blackmail and the propagation of falsehood are relics of a dying political age. The future belongs to those who engage in rigorous, issue based campaigns.
For the opposition parties in Abia State, the clock is ticking, and the sands of political relevance are running out. The idea that a political party can usurp a sitting government through a barrage of fabricated scandals, character assassination, and orchestrated social media smear campaigns is not just naive; it is a strategic su***de mission. The Osun election has provided a comprehensive case study in why this approach fails and why the Abia opposition, if it truly harbors any ambition of governing the "Godโs Own State," must immediately change its modus operandi.
Let us consider the anatomy of the Osun contest. The incumbent governor sought re-election on a platform of infrastructure renewal and fiscal responsibility. The opposition, rather than presenting a superior alternative or a detailed plan to address the peculiar developmental challenges of Osun, largely hinged their campaign on emotive rhetoric and attempts to delegitimize the incumbent through allegations of corruption and incompetence, many of which were unproven and ultimately rejected by the electorate.
The result was not a narrow victory; it was a resounding affirmation of the incumbentโs performance. The voters of Osun, faced with a choice between a tangible record of road construction, salary payments, and healthcare investment on one side, and a cacophony of unsubstantiated accusations on the other, chose progress over propaganda.
This scenario should be a wake up call to the opposition in Abia. In the lead up to the next electoral cycle, there has been a noticeable uptick in the dissemination of malicious content aimed at the state government. These attacks often lack substance, relying on doctored statistics, false narratives regarding the stateโs debt profile, and attempts to stoke ethnic tensions within the state. The opposition seems to believe that if they shout "non-performance" loudly enough and often enough, they can rewrite the reality of the impressive infrastructural strides being made across Abiaโs commercial hubs and rural areas. This is a gross miscalculation.
The Abia electorate is sophisticated and discerning. They live the reality of governance every day. They know when the roads they drive on have been fixed. They know when their childrenโs schools are being renovated. They know when the security architecture of their communities is improving. When the opposition spends all its energy trying to convince the electorate that their eyes are lying to them, it insults the intelligence of the voting public. It creates a disconnect that is fatal to the oppositionโs cause. The people of Osun did not reject the opposition because they were ignorant of the allegations; they rejected the opposition because the allegations were not backed by a viable plan for their own future. The same fate awaits the Abia opposition if they do not pivot.
If the Abia opposition is serious about winning, they must learn from the most successful opposition politician in modern Nigerian history: President Bola Ahmed Tinubu. Before his ascension to the presidency, Tinubu was the gold standard of what an opposition politician could be in a democratic dispensation. For years, while in the opposition, he was not defined solely by his attacks on the ruling party at the federal level; he was defined by his ideological consistency and his visionary approach to governance.
President Tinubuโs tenure as Governor of Lagos State and his subsequent role as a national opposition leader were characterized by a deep understanding of policy. He did not merely criticize; he offered alternatives. He built a political machine that was based on ideas, such as fiscal federalism and true federalism. When he challenged the federal government on issues like the creation of local council development areas or the seizure of local government funds, he did so with a constitutional and legal framework that elevated the discourse. He was a positive opposition politician because he understood that the ultimate goal of opposition is not just to seize power, but to improve the lives of the people by offering a better blueprint for society.
The Abia opposition should study this model. They should ask themselves: What is our blueprint for Abia? Beyond the insults, what do they stand for? If they want to critique the state governmentโs spending, they should present a counter budget. If they believe the stateโs debt is unsustainable, they should publish a white paper on how they would restructure the economy to generate revenue without borrowing. If they believe the current government is not doing enough in healthcare, let them unveil a comprehensive plan for universal health coverage in Abia, costed and itemized. This is the difference between a party of governance and a party of mischief.
The stark reality, however, is that many in the Abia opposition are aware that they have no substantial alternative to offer. Their reliance on blackmail and falsehood is not a strategy of strength, but an admission of bankruptcy. When a political party lacks a credible candidate with a track record of success, they resort to tearing down the incumbent. When they lack the intellectual capacity to dissect a budget or propose an alternative educational policy, they resort to fabricating scandals. It is the last refuge of the political scoundrel.
And let it be said plainly: truly, they have no chances in the upcoming election. The current administration in Abia has focused on the fundamentals. The political capital being built through infrastructure and social intervention is not the kind that can be eroded by anonymous bloggers and paid "civil society" groups. The people of Abia are witnessing a transformation, and they are politically intelligent enough to know that when a government is delivering, it is a disservice to their own children to hand the state over to a group whose only manifesto is grievance.
The chances of the opposition are not just slim; they are non-existent if they continue on this path. The Osun election demonstrated that when an incumbent has a story to tell, the electorate will protect that story. The opposition in Osun ran one of the most aggressive campaigns in recent memory, but it collapsed because it was built on a foundation of negativity. Abia is not Osun, but the principles of electoral politics remain universal. Voters gravitate towards light, progress, and hope. They run away from darkness, bitterness, and character assassination.
The opposition in Abia must realize that the electorate is watching their conduct. Every falsehood they spread is a nail in the coffin of their political future. Every fabricated story erodes trust in their candidates. By choosing the path of blackmail, they are not weakening the incumbent; they are inoculating the public against their own message. When they finally have a genuine issue to raise regarding governance, no one will believe them because they have cried wolf too many times. They are destroying their own credibility in the marketplace of ideas.
The call to issue based campaigning is not an attempt to censor the opposition. It is a call to elevate the democratic process. A vibrant democracy requires a strong opposition, but that opposition must be strong in intellect, not strong in venom. It must be robust in its policy alternatives, not robust in its ability to circulate propaganda. The people of Abia deserve a contest of ideas. They deserve a debate on how to increase internally generated revenue, how to improve agricultural value chains, and how to ensure that the stateโs natural resources benefit the common man. They do not deserve the gutter politics that is currently being offered.
As the next election approaches, the die is cast. The trajectory of the state is clear. The current government has set a pace that is both ambitious and measurable. If the opposition in Abia wishes to be taken seriously, they must immediately drop the tools of blackmail and falsehood. They must come to the table with solutions. If they cannot, they should prepare for a resounding defeat. The people of Abia are not looking for who can shout the loudest or lie the most. They are looking for who can build roads, create jobs, and secure lives. And on those metrics, the current dispensation has already won the argument. The only chance the opposition has is to join the train of progress, and that is a train that waits for no one.