11/07/2022
Landmark Communications Releases Final Georgia Poll of Governor, Senate, Downticket Races
Inflation/Economy Overwhelming Issue; Kemp 52% Walker Slight Lead
(Atlanta, GA) - Landmark Communications published its final statewide polling results Monday of the 2022 General Election. The poll of 1,214 likely voters was conducted exclusively for Atlanta News First/Peachtree TV.
52% of Georgians named inflation and the economy as the most important issue or problem, with just 17% naming abortion and 13% election integrity.
Governor Brian Kemp leads Democratic challenger Stacey Abrams among likely voters by a 52-46% margin, with 2 percent for Libertarian Shane Hazel and 1 percent undecided.
In the election for U.S. Senate, Republican Herschel Walker leads Senator Raphael Warnock 47-46%; 4.5 percent goes to Libertarian Chase Oliver.
In other downticket statewide races, Republican Burt Jones leads Democrat Charlie Bailey 50-41%; Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger leads Democrat Bee Nguyen 48-40%, and Attorney General Chris Carr leads Democrat Jen Jordan 47-43%.
“It’s becoming clear that Governor Kemp is now plowing the ground ahead for the entire Republican ticket,” said Mark Rountree, President of Landmark Communications.
“Downticket Republican candidates are now essentially just drafting behind Governor Kemp. Republican statewide candidates are leading in every race we tested, and at very similar margins,” said Rountree.
“It appears that Democratic candidates have once again won the mail-in vote by a wide margin, by nearly a 2-1 margin, depending on the race,” said Rountree. “But since mail-in voters represent just four percent of all total projected voters, this group is a small portion of the electorate.”
“Voters who walked in to vote during the three-week early voting time period will split their votes about evenly between Republicans and Democrats. But voters who tell us that they will vote on Election Day say they are giving Republican candidates a significant margin of support,” said Rountree. “Election Day votes are the ones that will often be counted last on election night, which will mean a roller coaster of an evening.”
METHODOLOGY
Landmark Communications, Inc. conducted a statewide poll of 1,214 randomly selected likely Georgia voters from November 4-6, 2022. Only interviews with fully completed surveys were tabulated in the results. The poll was conducted utilizing both live telephone as well as online interviews. The margin of error of this survey is 2.8 percent.
To be consistent with previous and projected voter turnout, results are weighted based on race, age and gender. Landmark conducted and funded the poll with no input from any candidate or organization. No candidate, campaign, or organization had prior knowledge or input for questions asked. The survey was conducted exclusively for Atlanta News First.
ABOUT LANDMARK COMMUNICATIONS, INC.
Landmark is one of only twelve polling firms in the United States awarded an “A” rating by the polling analysis organization FiveThirtyEight.com, out of 500 polling firms listed.
For more information, go to https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/ and sort by “538 Grade.”
Landmark is also rated by polling aggregator Real Clear Politics as one of the five most accurate state polling firms in the United States. Go to https://www.realclearpolitics.com/rcp-pollster-rankings/ for more.
Landmark Communications, Inc. is a political strategic and polling firm based in Metro Atlanta, Georgia. The firm has more than two decades of polling experience, and regularly conducts and releases public opinion surveys regarding Georgia politics. The firm’s president is Mark Rountree.
www.LandmarkCommunications.net
