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Alabama Storm Alert

Alabama Storm Alert The official page of Alabama Storm Alert. With Alabama Storm Alert (based in Birmingham), you will get high quality severe weather forecast information along with LIVE warning coverage & chasing footage!

And, you can also request to get YOUR area's local weather. You will get the answer you're looking for!

And, you can also request to get YOUR area's local weather. You will get the answer you're looking for!

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Confidence continues to gradually increase regarding the return of severe thunderstorm potential to virtually the ENTIRE...
02/22/2022

Confidence continues to gradually increase regarding the return of severe thunderstorm potential to virtually the ENTIRE northwestern quadrant of Alabama TOMORROW afternoon and evening ahead of a large frontal boundary. Any developing storm within this area could quickly grow upscale & generate damaging wind gusts (>60mph), isolated tornadoes (

A relatively significant severe weather episode could unfold today across portions of west-central through northern Alab...
02/17/2022

A relatively significant severe weather episode could unfold today across portions of west-central through northern Alabama as a strong storm system moves over the region. Tornadoes (one or two possibly strong and/or long-tracked), swaths of damaging wind (60-70mph), and perhaps instances of hailstones (

Good morning, everyone. Unfortunately, severe thunderstorms could return to portions of the state tomorrow (Thursday, Fe...
02/16/2022

Good morning, everyone. Unfortunately, severe thunderstorms could return to portions of the state tomorrow (Thursday, Feb. 17th). Virtually the ENTIRE STATE is within some risk of severe weather, with storms capable of generating swaths of damaging wind and perhaps a few tornadoes. At this time, we strongly believe that locations across the western regions of the state (W of I-65) are most at-risk of experiencing inclement weather. The threat will begin during the middle afternoon hours over the western portions of the state and gradually expand eastward throughout the state into the evening and perhaps overnight hours (E AL), though the threat will be consistently decreasing by then.

A large, dynamic storm system is forecast to affect portions of the central & eastern United States today into tomorrow (our day). A trailing cold front will accompany & precede these larger-scale synoptic features. Thunderstorms will originate within the moist pre-frontal environment off to our west during the morning into earlier afternoon hours. Storms will then protrude into western Alabama sometime during the afternoon (this is where storms are forecast to be strongest). Predominant storm mode (storm type) is anticipated to be linear, however meso-beta-scale (smaller-scale) areas of convection could periodically exhibit supercellular characteristics with broken bands, leading to transient corridors of enhanced tornado potential. Any area of thunderstorms could produce damaging wind gusts and possibly a few tornadoes given more-than-enough environmental wind shear.

The storms will continue their voyage eastward, however they will begin weakening sometime within the early evening due limiting buoyancy & larger-scale forcing that is (or was) enacting on the system. Where this strict weakening trend occurs is unknown; it's one of our greatest forecasting challenges we face. This is why the tornado potential appears higher over western Alabama, and very low over eastern Alabama. A few strong to marginally severe wind gusts still appear possible across the eastern regions of the state during the later evening & overnight hours but organized severe weather encounters remain unlikely at this time.

Given the existing uncertainties and anticipated synoptic/mesoscale evolution, we are NOT anticipating a widespread or significant outbreak of severe thunderstorms. This particular scenario with respect to the data we've analyzed remains consistent with something very conventional, or a lower to middle echelon (normal) severe weather event. There could be a greater concentration of severe convective weather over portions of western Alabama (where the tornado risk is highest), but nothing we've rendered screams "outbreak" at this time. Even across western Alabama (the target zone), the potential for severe thunderstorms remains conditional to an extent, given the thermodynamic uncertainties. The system still garners our attention, nonetheless. We have a little more meteorology to do, so continue to monitor our page for updates, potentially communicating forecast refinements/adjustments in the near-term.

Regardless of expected storm/threat magnitude, all convective potential is serious. Though, there is never a guarantee that you'll experience inclement weather. In fact, the vast majority people don't. It's about the unlucky few who do – emphasizing the importance of being adequately prepared. This is the perfect time to make sure that your safety plan is all polished up. Make sure that you have MULTIPLE working sources of alert information available to you. Social media should not be your only source of receiving immediate warning information. More graphical weather information will be distributed a little later pertaining to tomorrow's convective weather scenario. This concludes our messages; enjoy your day today! NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER TODAY [02/16].

..#alwx..
[email protected]☈malert..
[email protected]
..9:03am CST 02/16/2022..

IMPORTANT MESSAGE: To everyone currently unaware.. an organized, large-scale severe thunderstorm event is within the rea...
02/13/2022

IMPORTANT MESSAGE: To everyone currently unaware.. an organized, large-scale severe thunderstorm event is within the realm of possibility this coming Thursday (February 17th) across a significant portion of the state as a dynamic storm system consolidates and advances towards the area. The confidence in the event itself is relatively substantial as the system has been carefully assessed within the continuum of operational guidance over the last few days. However, there is a multitude of smaller-scale & medium-scale uncertainties that have not been resolved yet, per usual. Threat magnitude, storm timing, storm type, etc. cannot be correctly deciphered at this time; just understand that Thursday could be an active day across the state.

➟ Will this event be significant?
We are simply too far out in range to determine the absolute threat magnitude. Our current best guess would be a 'middle-echelon' or 'middle-of-the-road' severe weather scenario.

➟ Will there be big tornadoes?
While the system looks favorable for a few tornadoes, at this time we are NOT anticipating a classic 'spring-like' tornado outbreak.

➟ When will the storms roll through?
Timing unfortunately is amongst our greatest uncertainties. Late morning through afternoon is our current best guess. Storms will be accelerating from west to east; regional time window for storms (location to location) generally becomes later with eastward direction.

➟ Will I get hit by a severe thunderstorm or tornado?
The probability of any one location being directly impacted by such catastrophe is always extremely small, even in our most vigorous tornado outbreaks. Proximity-based probabilistic odds can be drawn categorically to represent the chances of severe weather occurring across larger-scale coverage areas (e.g., SPC Convective Outlooks). There is never a guarantee of experiencing inclement weather.

➟ If the Storm Prediction Center is already issuing severe risk areas this far in advance, doesn't that mean that there has to be significant severe weather on Thursday?
No. It simply means that there is enough consistency/continuity amongst the data that is being considered to introduce risk areas, representing the presence of increased storm potential. It does not necessarily reflect projected threat magnitude/storm intensity.

It is important to stay up-to-date with the latest forecasting information. Routine graphical forecast synopses & discussions are to be rendered to our page once a deeper understanding of the system is achieved. This is a wonderful time to make sure that you possess multiple working sources of warning information. Social media should NOT be your only source of receiving immediate warning information. If you have any questions or concerns, do not hesitate to comment them below; they will be addressed. That is all for now; STAY TUNED FOR FUTURE UPDATES.

..#alwx..
[email protected]☈malert..
[email protected]
..8:35am CST 02/13/2022..

Upon our early morning assessment of convective potential, it has been inferred that the threat of severe thunderstorms ...
02/03/2022

Upon our early morning assessment of convective potential, it has been inferred that the threat of severe thunderstorms today has unfortunately increased. Thunderstorms are forecast to generally increase in coverage from west to east starting during the afternoon. Any evolving storm could quickly reach severe-criteria and generate swaths of damaging wind gusts and perhaps spawn isolated tornadoes. While the chance of a strong to severe storm is pretty much non-zero over most of the state, a greater concentrated severe weather scenario could develop over portions of southwest into central Alabama (this is especially true for southwest-central Alabama).

A cold front featuring a sharp temperature gradient will advance eastward throughout our area today. Thunderstorms are forecast to originate within a close proximity to the surface front. A few cells could gain some momentum out ahead of the predominant line. They could approach portions of western Alabama by the early afternoon and begin threatening the central into southwestern regions of the state (afternoon hours). Damaging winds and isolated tornadoes are possible underneath potential severe thunderstorms. A few strong storms could make it into northern Alabama during this time period. The threat will begin diminishing from northwest to southeast (residual strong/severe threat may continue for portions of southern Alabama through the evening hours).

While some threshold of atmospheric uncertainties are still present, they have somewhat lessened due to the consistent improvements made by the latest rounds of operational guidance. While we are still NOT anticipating anything particularly widespread/significant, this is a consequential signature to maintain an appropriate sense of weather-awareness throughout the day w/ multiple working sources of alert information accessible. As always, there is absolutely NO guarantee that you'll experience inclement weather. That is all for now; enjoy your day! #alwx

..Alex Roberts..
..6:03am CST 02/03/2022..

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Birmingham, AL

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Remember, I am not a professional meteorologist, I do this because I LOVE the study of meteorology! I am however a trained storm spotter from the National Weather Service. Growing up in Birmingham (currently at The University of Alabama), I plan on attending OU's School of Meteorology program in the near-future.

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Alabama Storm Alert provides critical weather information concerning all walks of inclement weather through scientifically-rooted forecast discussions, graphical weather outlooks, and live watch/warning coverage serving the ENTIRE state of Alabama!

The weather network is run by 20 year-old Alex Roberts, an aspiring atmospheric scientist & college student. While Alabama Storm Alert emphasizes the distribution of severe weather outlooks & warning information, modeling solutions will also occasionally be shown to the public. Modeling solutions are NOT forecasts.

Posts on this page exponentially increase during inclement weather events (particularly severe weather). If you are interested in routinely receiving this critical weather information, then welcome to Alabama Storm Alert!

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Comments

In claysille al. At village inn motel
August 21st 1:45 This hook is moving straight towards me in Morgan County. No warning yet. I'm staying vigilant!
😲
Y’all pray for Alex, he may have been impacted by this tornado emergency🥺
Happy World Meteorological Day! We sent a token of our appreciation for your informative posts, time, and in support of your education towards becoming a leader in Meteorology. We sent it via PayPal to [email protected]
Rotation coming over natural bridge before becoming tornadic as it came into winston county!! Video credits to my fiance, nobody owns rights to this video except for her! Kayla Winslett
Is there going to be another chance of storms on Wed?
ANY Wind is dangerous. The ground is SATURATED and trees will uproot easily. Watch the Oak Trees.
Hamilton, Al
COUNTDOWN, WILL AMERICA'S REPUBLIC SURVIVE: WILL The Supreme Court abandon, THE UNITED STATES CONSTITUTION {?} IF THE SUPREME COURT DOES, AMERICA WILL DISSOLVE THE SAME WAY AS OTHER PAST GREAT EMPIRES, THE EGYPTIAN EMPIRE THE ROMAN EMPIRE THE PERSIAN EMPIRE THE PORTUGUESE EMPIRE THE YUAN DYNASTY THE SPANISH EMPIRE THE USSR THE MONGOL EMPIRE THE BRITISH EMPIRE WHY, Corruption, bribery, extortion, conspiracy, theft of nations resources, lawlessness, slavery, r**e, so**my, murder and domestic policies designed to keep the poor - poorer.
How does everyone think Hurricane Irma will effect Alabama? How/should we prepare?
Hey what's Rainbow City Looking like Etowah Co area as for as storms