NOAA NWS Climate Prediction Center

NOAA NWS Climate Prediction Center Official page for the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. Details: weather.gov/facebook
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Get ready for Summer weather hazards by visiting our Summer Safety website!   weather.gov/wrn/summer-safety #WeatherRead...
06/01/2020

Get ready for Summer weather hazards by visiting our Summer Safety website!

weather.gov/wrn/summer-safety #WeatherReady #ClimateSmart

NOAA NWS Climate Prediction Center's cover photo
06/01/2020

NOAA NWS Climate Prediction Center's cover photo

Uncertainty reigns in our initial May temperature outlook with mixed signals across much of the interior of the country....
04/16/2020

Uncertainty reigns in our initial May temperature outlook with mixed signals across much of the interior of the country. Increased chances for above-normal temperatures exist closer to the coasts and across Alaska. For precipitation, wetter than normal odds are elevated through much of the Plains and into the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, while a slight dry tilt exists across parts of the Pacific Northwest and southwestern Alaska. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/lead14/

No fooling here, with a high risk for much above-normal temperatures and daily record highs likely occurring across much...
04/01/2020

No fooling here, with a high risk for much above-normal temperatures and daily record highs likely occurring across much of Florida on 4/9-4/10.

Elsewhere, a moderate risk of heavy rain exists for parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley and Tennessee Valley on the same dates. This area is of particular concern for flash flooding potential as 4-8 inches of rain has generally fallen across the highlighted region during the past two weeks. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

Best chances for a warmer than usual period during April 3rd through 9th are for areas from the Pacific Coast through th...
03/26/2020

Best chances for a warmer than usual period during April 3rd through 9th are for areas from the Pacific Coast through the High Plains. An active southern stream of the jet could also lead to an increased chance for wet conditions across parts of the Southwest, Southern Rockies, and Southern Plains. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/

03/19/2020
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

NOAA forecasts another year of widespread river flooding, and above-average temperatures are likely from coast to coast.

To download maps or an HD copy of this video, visit climate.gov/Spring2020. Watch a close-captioned version on YouTube at https://youtu.be/r-upsPTaZEA.

(Video produced by the NOAA Climate.gov team in cooperation with the NOAA NWS Water Science and the NOAA Climate Prediction Center teams. Unless specifically stated otherwise, NOAA Climate.gov video productions can be freely republished or re-purposed by others.)

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)
03/19/2020

National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA)

NOAA forecasters issued the U.S.#SpringOutlook today -- right on time! http://bit.ly/SpringOutlook2020

The Spring Equinox arrives tonight at 11:49 p.m. ET/8:49 p.m. PT.

Forecasters predict widespread river flooding this spring, but they do not expect it to be as severe or prolonged overall as the historic floods in 2019. They say above-average precipitation (e.g., rain) is likely in the central and eastern U.S.

Some highlights from the Outlook:

-- Major to moderate flooding is likely in 23 states from the Northern Plains south to the Gulf Coast, with the most significant flood potential in parts of North Dakota, South Dakota and Minnesota.

-- NOAA Center for Weather & Climate Prediction is forecasting above-average temperatures across the country this spring, as well as above-average precipitation in the central and eastern United States. Significant rainfall events could trigger flood conditions on top of already saturated soils.

MORE: **Be sure to follow U.S. National Weather Service (NWS) this spring on Twitter (@NWS) for the latest severe weather information, alerts, watches and warnings.

A high risk for heavy rain is forecast across parts of the Lower and Middle Mississippi Valley through the Tennessee and...
03/10/2020

A high risk for heavy rain is forecast across parts of the Lower and Middle Mississippi Valley through the Tennessee and Ohio Valleys on March 18-20. Soils are already saturated in this area from earlier precipitation, while the NOAA NWS Weather Prediction Center forecasts up to 4 inches of additional rain prior to this period. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

There is an elevated risk of severe weather across parts of the central and southern Great Plains east to the middle and...
03/05/2020

There is an elevated risk of severe weather across parts of the central and southern Great Plains east to the middle and lower Mississippi Valley throughout March 13-19. This active period is tied to a forecast full-latitude trough centered near the West Coast, with multiple shortwave troughs rotating through the longwave acting to promote lee-side surface cyclogenesis. This scenario is anticipated to be coupled with an unseasonably moist, unstable environment across the highlighted region that would promote periodic severe weather events during Week-2. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

Increased chances for relatively warm and wet conditions are the most likely outcome for much of the country during mid-...
03/04/2020

Increased chances for relatively warm and wet conditions are the most likely outcome for much of the country during mid-March. The big outlier is Alaska, where confidence is fairly high for a cool and wet pattern being observed. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/

March 11-13 look to be a wet pattern for parts of the west, resulting in a moderate risk of heavy precipitation. Expecte...
03/03/2020

March 11-13 look to be a wet pattern for parts of the west, resulting in a moderate risk of heavy precipitation. Expected rainfall would benefit some areas impacted by short-term abnormal dryness and moderate #drought across California and western Nevada, which has experienced less than 25% of normal precipitation in the past 60-days. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats.php

NOAA NWS Climate Prediction Center's cover photo
03/02/2020

NOAA NWS Climate Prediction Center's cover photo

Today's Week 3-4 forecast for mid- to late March anticipates the best chances for above-normal temperatures are in areas...
02/28/2020

Today's Week 3-4 forecast for mid- to late March anticipates the best chances for above-normal temperatures are in areas east of the Rockies and across parts of northern Alaska. Above-normal precipitation odds are elevated across much of the Northern Tier. This forecast is based on model guidance that supports the Arctic Oscillation maintaining its positive phase on average throughout the month of March. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/WK34/

Three areas are being monitored for tropical cyclone formation across the Indian Ocean during the next week. A dry week ...
02/25/2020

Three areas are being monitored for tropical cyclone formation across the Indian Ocean during the next week. A dry week looks to be on tap across American Samoa, before chances increase for a wetter pattern during early March.

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