01/31/2026
NOAA/NWS Florida Keys marine weather update [Gale Warning]...
Hi everyone, here is an UPDATE to this weekend's marine weather:
Gale Warning in effect for all coastal waters of the Florida Keys
Northerly gales, heavy seas, extremely rough nearshore waters, and life-threatening water temperatures are expected.
Conditions will deteriorate quickly across the Florida Keys today, with rounds of light to moderate rain squalls and subsequent sharp increases in the northwest to north winds. By this evening, prepare for sustained northerly gales near 35 knots, gusting near 45 knots, with heavy seas (significant wave heights as high as 16 feet across the southeastern Gulf and the Straits of Florida, and as high as 8 feet at the Reef), and extremely rough nearshore waters. The howling gales will peak from just after sunset this evening through around midnight. Extremely hazardous marine conditions will persist through Sunday afternoon, so plan to hunker down for at least 24 hours.
If you live or work in a mooring field or anchorage (e.g., Key West Bight or Boot Key Harbor), please remember that winds of these magnitudes will flip dinghies. Plan your transits to and from the mooring fields and anchorages accordingly, or find a safe haven ashore. Always wear a life jacket—it is the most proven way to save a life.
The temperatures tonight through Monday morning will be the coldest temperatures since 2010. The wind chills will fall into the upper 20s to lower 30s in the Upper Keys (Cold Weather Advisory is in effect), the mid to upper 30s in the Middle Keys, and from the upper 30s to lower 40s in the Lower Keys. In the coldest spots, hypothermia will be possible with prolonged exposure. The shallow waters Bayside of the Middle and Upper Keys will quickly respond to the Arctic air mass, with sea surface temperatures falling to near 50 degrees by Monday morning, and possibly into the mid to upper 40s for locations closer to Flamingo. Cold water (defined as 59F or below) triggers cold shock—an involuntary gasp reflex—which can lead to immediate inhalation of water and drowning. Do not risk being on the water this weekend if you can avoid it.
Finally, during the peak of the winds this evening, water levels will surge along the Gulf and Bayside facing communities of the Florida Keys. Locations such as Port Pine Heights, the northern Torches, and Upper Sugarloaf may see water levels approaching a high King Tide, so give your moored boats a little more scope in their spring and dock lines.