03/14/2026
Mason County is in the HIGH section for FIRE DANGER starting Sunday. Counties to the East of Mason are in the EXTREME FIRE DANGER Section.
•The fire environment will feature a warming and drying trend going to Sunday before a strong cold enters the state, producing a strong post-frontal wind field Sunday afternoon. Little rainfall is expected statewide the next 7-days, however recent rainfall over the past 7-days has improved dead fuel moisture and is increasing herbaceous greenness for areas that received 1+ inch rainfall and will help limit fire potential.
•High drying of surface fuel is expected to occur going into Sunday for the Western third of the state that did not receive 1+ rainfall amounts over the past 7-days. Moderate potential for large wildfires with high resistance to control are possible Sunday in the High Plains, Caprock, western Rolling Plains, and Southern Plains predictive services areas when dry surface fuel is exposed to very high to extreme fire danger due to a long duration and strong post-frontal environment. Near to above normal fuel moisture and increased greenness of herbaceous fuel should result in low to moderate initial attack fire potential in the Cross Timbers, Eastern/Western Hill Country, Central Texas, North Texas, and Northeast Texas even when exposed to very high to extreme fire danger. Any fires that occur in these regions should have low resistance to control because of the higher dead and live fuel moisture.
•Monday will feature a cooler, but very dry post-frontal environment. Elevated to critical fire weather over dry surface fuel in far South Texas and the lower Gulf Coast will support moderate potential for initial attack fires and at least low potential for a large fire with high resistance to control. East and Central Texas may support low initial attack fire potential with low resistance to control.
•Confidence is high of a strong area of high pressure in the southwestern U.S. developing mid to late next week, promoting abnormally warm and dry conditions across Texas. Low to mid-90s are possible by the end of next week across the western Plains which could facilitate very high rates of drying in dead surface fuel and lowering the thresholds of fire weather needed to produce fire activity or fires with high resistance to control.
Additional details are posted in the Texas Fire Potential Update at: https://bit.ly/TexasFirePotentialUpdate.
