Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather Alert

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Mid-Atlantic Severe Weather Alert

MD Severe Weather Alert is a page created by a Baltimore area NOAA certified storm spotter.

Mid-Atlantic 24 Hour Information specializing in overnight and off hours severe weather Livestream coverage, also including public safety, driving and boating conditions reports This page will be used to alert people to severe, dangerous weather in the Maryland and outlying area. It will be available 24 hours 7 days a week year round to provide up to the minute information on severe weather event

s when they occur. A number of methods are used to update this info but will be made as simple and easy to understand as possible. This will include the Radarscope storm chasing app anyone can download and use, live storm spotter reports, local radar including airport radar, and when possible field observations and live first responder reports from monitor feeds in the area of the storms. I actively chase tornadoes and severe wind events also and report directly to the National Weather Service Office in Sterling VA and Mount Holly NJ for MD's eastern shore when possible. The goal of this page is to get warnings out as fast as possible or when no other pages and media are available, with updates to the minute during the event, 24 hours a day. I want to improve the speed of warnings in our area, especially after "normal business hours"... this has been a problem in our area for years. There will be SOME discussion of non life threatening weather events or news stories if it involves PUBLIC SAFETY ISSUES. There will be no advertising allowed, and there will be NO drama allowed in the posts. No personal information will be posted here (doxxing) no fatality reports, no political posts. REAL TIME, UP TO DATE ACCURATE INFORMATION FOR THE MID ATLANTIC AREA IN THE EVENT OF LIFE THREATENING WEATHER OR OTHER EVENTS INVOLVING PUBLIC SAFETY..

18/07/2025

10:20am Fri July 18: Severe Update for today...
- It appears today's main severe weather threat should be mostly south of our region, down in the Southern VA coastal and lower Chesapeake Bay areas east of I-95.
The main threat today is for damaging winds in any storms that do form south of the D.C./Annapolis/Route 50 corridor. No elevated tornado or hail threat is shown, but those are always a possibility this time of year.
Typical mild to moderate slow moving storms will be possible randomly across the lower Delmarva Peninsula and some stronger storm cells may creep into the Southern MD/Lower Potomac River Basin
but the damaging wind possibilities seem to be further south, with the exceptions of those small, nearly stationary storms we have been seeing pop up randomly.

Of course with model accuracy lower than usual lately and these types of random summer storms nearly impossible to forecast, anyone really has about the same chance of seeing at least mild storms with lightning and heavy rain pretty much anywhere again today and throughout the weekend, any storms that do form will have the usual potential for flash flooding, dangerous lightning output and some random strong to damaging wind gusts. But the main threat today at least for now appears to be down around the Virginia/North Carolina border region at the coast.

As always, if you are outdoors today keep an ear out for thunder and get indoors, clear ballfields and workers from rooftops if you hear thunder - lightning can strike as much as 15-20 miles into clear skies from even a small storm cells when temps & humidity are running this high, it puts a lot of energy into the atmosphere for heavy lightning discharge rates.

17/07/2025

11:00am Thurs July 17: Severe Update for today... And a since I'm going to be unavailable for a few more days, here's a quick lesson on the patterns I look for and see often this time of year;
Today, another day with storms but more to our south this time...
- It appears the main activity for severe storms will be south of the Washington D.C. I-95 corridor and in the Southern MD Peninsula, along the Lower Potomac River Basin and Northeastern VA.
Flash flooding will be likely under any storms again, so if you are driving today keep that in mind and keep an eye out for water on the roadways. Please do not attempt to drive through it. Even if the person in front of you makes it, that's not a guarantee you will. Don't become a statistic.

"Typical summertime pattern":
This time of year, we get into these patterns where our normal everyday setup will usually include these types of storms formations in addition and over top of any larger meso-cyclonic patterns... So anytime it's sunny hot and humid we can expect to see these intense electrical storms and also very heavy monsoon type rains.
This means the nearly stationary storm setup in the Baltimore/Wilmington/Philly Metro areas and northern end of the Delmarva Peninsula, and randomly around the region we could see those nearly stationary storms form again each afternoon with heavy rain and extreme lightning output.
Another typical pattern is small to moderate storm cells forming in the mountains during the day moving east, and once these storms or any frontal boundaries or other storm forming energies move East it always seems to cross I-81 and out of the mountains and into the lower altitude Piedmont Plateau between Frederick/Gettysburg/Leesburg, and into the I-95 Philly/Baltimore/D.C. corridor right around 3-5pm when the peak amount of "storm fuel" is available in the lower altitude, more dense atmosphere resulting in a sudden strengthening of any storms already formed, or some days, surprise severe storm formation out of the clear blue.
Also possible, on the Delmarva and along the I-95 corridor is anywhere a sea breeze effect sets up along the beaches or western shore of the Bays and moves inland to the west, and collides or runs across a strong thermal over the land mass, or into small storm cells flaring them up in strength suddenly or even out of the clear blue sky, of which I call them "Pop-up" storms.

It's nearly impossible to determine where these random summertime storms will appear exactly, but using this local knowledge we know where the usual culprits will set up, because the larger cities generate an area of higher heat and that type of nearly stationary, constantly regenerating storm typically will be leeward or down-wind of the cities "heat dome", so it will be depending on the direction of the prevailing winds. When those winds are blowing so that the warm water of the Bay are immediately down wind also, it can help generate those really strong and nearly stationary afternoon storms that dump huge amounts of rain and are extremely electrically charged, which is why Dundalk/Essex has seen so much activity, and we see those microburst or bigger downbursting storms between Baltimore and Annapolis, or even out over the Bay and onto Kent Island.

Also ANY storm cells that can organize well enough to form a hail core and reach cloud top heights over 40k feet can begin to form a big shelf cloud and "mothership" appearance, will begin to rotate and can set off these tornado warnings, even without having a severe thunderstorm warning first.
Often as these huge amounts of rain and/or hail dump out of a well organized storm, that huge volume of water displaces a huge volume of air with it, and this results in a big vacuum that can result in an updraft as the surrounding warm humid air under the storm rushed in to fill the void left behind. This then can form the tightening rotation that sets off a tornado warning, and can even form our typical small/weak funnel clouds and tornados we see from time to time.
This is all completely normal summertime storm activity in our region, and has been happening since I've been paying attention for the last 30-40 years. So don't let the internet ghouls and hype-sters keep you living in fear. These storms are normal natural weather processes and healthy, even necessary for our environment, even though they can be dangerous. We need these processes to occur to keep the land and the Bay viable for life.

I'm making progress every day so I should be back to normal before too much longer, thanks to all of your help.
I'll be announcing my new setup and abilities soon, hopefully this weekend.

17/07/2025

8:57pm Tornado Warning has since been *cancelled*- Carroll/Baltimore Co: Apologies I am still unable to keep up currently and I was driving without cell service at the time; but upon investigation it appears to be a very weak rotation with low gate to gate speeds, typical of our local spin ups... May turn out to be a false warning. I'm not hearing any widespread damage reports on the scanners but there are some trees down... And some fires from lightning strikes.

What's happening:
The storms strengthened compared to earlier as they moved out of the mountains into the more hot humid air east of the Appalachian Trail/I-81 corridor. We see this happen often in the hot summer months between3om to 9pm as the storms move west to east. The storms come down out of the higher mountain elevations into much thicker more hot and humid air as the land mass drops from 2000 foot peaks to 400 foot or less heights around Frederick/Westminster, then in 50 miles the land mass drops from just under 400 feet to pretty much sea level at the Chesapeake Bay, and this can recharge or even supercharge the storms as the air is much more dense with storm fuel at sea level.
There is some very strong lightning output with possible small hail and 60mph wind gusts from these storms around Baltimore/D.C. corridor for the next 2-3 hours and there may be a few small spin ups setting off tornado warnings, but remember that we have a more well defined tornado and severe thunderstorm warning box systems now, only warning the immediate area of concern and no longer warning a whole county needlessly. It's based on the size and forward speed of the warning area.
These new warnings are more well defined so it is really important to have multiple ways to receive them, but the primary way now is on your handheld devices like a cell phone.
The NWS is using a system called "geo-fencing", which uses the devices GPS to tell who gets a warning and who doesn't get one needlessly.
The NOAA Weather Radios still use the older system that warns for the whole county where the warning is situated. Which isn't as precise but is still the best way to have a backup system, because a tornado can come though and knock out a local cell tower, or power can be out due to multiple storms, causing people to not be able to receive warnings any other way
So make sure you have more than one way to receive warnings, and everyone should have a NOAA Weather radio.

Again I apologize for not being able to stay on top of this but I am currently in between living spaces and unable to monitor weather live.
Hang in there, I am literally working myself sick in the heat to get back to my normal level and quality of coverage. Soon... Hopefully very soon.

16/07/2025

624pm 2nd Quick Update on the Severe weather:
So far the storms remain well under the threshold for a severe storm and are mainly still just producing heavy rains.
The forward speed has picked up a little bit the size and strength remain small and low.
Expect to find flash flooding under the storms if you are driving the roads this evening tru tonight, and some lightning displays, but there shouldn't be any dangerous winds overnight.

Just PLEASE be extra careful driving in the rain, looking out for flooded roads!!!
TOO many people are having to be rescued from flood waters in their vehicles and willingly driving into flood waters thinking you'll make it,but tragically never do - this is the leading cause of storm related deaths, more than tornados, winds and lightning COMBINED! It also kills more first responders and innocent bystanders who try to help too.
I beg you. Just turn around, do not drown.

16/07/2025

4:35pm Wed July 16: Quick Update...
As you can see the storms are staying small, moving slow around 20-25mph and are pretty mild compared to recently. Only one Severe warning out in the Pittsburgh region. Most of these cells will rain themselves out before making it out of the mountains.
The Baltimore/DC region may see a few storms but will remain mostly rain with some lightning and gusty winds but nothing crazy or extreme today.

16/07/2025

OK FOLKS I should be able to get back to normal here...soonish...
By the end of the weekend at most, hopefully.
Shaking off the cobwebs and trying to keep moving forward has been difficult but I can feel a little momentum picking up finally.... But ho-lee crap do I have some stories now!
I owe all of that and so much more to YOU, all of my who are the absolute most amazing group on the internet.
1,000 percent.
I cannot express the amazing feeling that has kept me going and pushing through to get back here. I apologize I haven't been very vocal here or in all of the messages but I've read every one of them.
My faith in humanity, and more importantly myself, is restored because of everyone here.
I've still got a few complications to straighten out that may take a couple of days but I can see the path forward and the "fog of war" so to speak is lifting, I actually slept for more than an hour straight twice in a row and that has made a huge difference in my focus and cognitive abilities. Overlooking the basics always ends up in trouble for me and I need to constantly be reminded I'm no longer 25 and jacked like a pro wrestler LOL!

So as my idol, basis for personality growing up, and favorite movie character says:

"Have you paid your dues?
Yes sir, the checks in the mail"

16/07/2025

10:15am Wed July 15: Severe Update... Not as bad today, but with the Flash Flooding Risk continuing today, slight chance for damaging winds with storms in the mountains; Today will be another one of those "random bubblers" storm days, where the storms form over and over and barely move around at all.
Under the storm cells, there will be extremely heavy rains that cause flash flooding like we have been seeing, and there is a little more potential for the largest storms to produce those random microburst wind blasts of 60-70mph under and nearby to the storm cells.
There will also be lightning that can reach very far out into the clear blue sky, upwards of 15-20 miles in the mountains!

Most of the widespread strong to severe storm activity will be in and around the mountain counties today, west of the Baltimore/D.C./I-95 Corridor, more towards the I-68, I-70, and I-81 mountains region.

We will probably see at least a few smaller pop up storm cells around the usual places (varies daily depending on prevailing winds) especially later into the evening but so far it appears the main concern for severe weather will be only right underneath any of the storm cells
Other than flooding and lightning, most of the more extreme severe winds should remain mostly in the Pittsburgh to Harrisburg stretch of the Appalachians, with WV & MD mountain counties seeing some storms today that can bring dangerous flash flooding.

On this map I'm showing attached, the severe storms to worry about show up with bright pink, and the more average, regular type of moderate storms, so today's storm levels should be moderate, not as extreme as we have been seeing, and mostly just smaller, isolated storm cells.

15/07/2025

Don't want to jinx it, but things are looking up....

14/07/2025

6:30PM MON JULY 14 *Now Cancelled* TORNADO WARNING ANNE ARUNDEL COUNTY NEAR ODENTON
LOOKS WEAK ON RADAR MAY BE A SMALL TORNADO OR FUNNEL CLOUD CROSSING ROURE 3 8N THE WAUGH CHAPEL AREA
THIS LOOKS WEAK BUT ALWAYS TAKE ALL WARNINGS SERIOUSLY

14/07/2025

I really really hate to have to ask for this again, am prett much completely out of money yet again and have a long way to go to make it through this month.
If anyone can spare a few more dollars to help me get through this nightmare it will be a massive help to getting this straightened out. I'm so far behind from where I thought I'd be by now it has me frustrated, scared, and full of anxiety.
I apologize if I scared anyone with that post yesterday, it's continuing to be a hellacious experience dealing with the emotions, the constant set backs, the heat and exhaustion, not sleeping more than an hour and the PTSD is a real thing I thought would just be another aspect to deal with but it does have a way of taking control when you least expect it, that's for sure... The mental fog and the pain of having to adapt to all of this physically from a wheelchair is definitely the worst part though and it wears me out quickly. It's a challenge and time consuming even managing to move things around and I'm very stubborn about trying to do it all myself, like an idiot.
So if I can get through this month somehow I think I'll be OK, I've lowered the threshold required to survive financially by a huge margin but I'm out of money, out of options and out of patience at this point... Starting to feel backed into a corner again honestly.
A whole lot of what I had planned or set up magically fell thru when the time came, suddenly wasn't available to me anymore, and chalk it up to full moon madness or whatever but there's been so much going sideways between it all I can't even believe half of it. I feel like I'm in a surreal nightmare world like the final destination movies. Let's see... I fell off the front porch and on to my head moving things, had a minor vehicle accident thanks to debris in the road on I-95 in the middle of the night, might have broken few toes dropping something heavy, heat exhaustion every single day making me puke my brains out, my legs cramping at night keeping me up when I do fall asleep between nightmares... it's been unreal. I'm going to have to write a book on all of this so nobody ever has to go thru it all ever again.

You have all helped so much already and I cannot stand asking for more but it's the only way I'm getting through this. I pretty much lost everything and now I'll be rebuilding from scratch moving forwards. Which is fine. I have the basics just no money for fuel, food, emergencies of which I've already had a major one... It just feels like it's never ending and now everything is so ridiculously expensive I don't know how anyone survived in this economy. I still have so much to set up and no money to do it.
I have a safe place to stay and a way to get around, but now out of money for fuel to do it, to stay cool, or for an internet setup which I still have to figure that out too. For a while it's just going to be my cheap cell phone unless I can get enough money together for a starlink, T-Mobile hotspot or something. Whatever is cheapest but reliable. I will have to get that all of that straight before I can return to a normal presence on the page it looks like.
I know you all want me back to normal and it's the only thing keeping me going day to day. That's really what the post was about yesterday. I'm not thinking about ending things or anything like that, apologies if it came off that way. I'm just soo beat down exhausted, so tired of dealing with people who promise the world and then try to take advantage of my situation. Such is life I guess. You make a call in the morning to find out the days plans and get told it's all cancelled and "good luck", it's hard to swallow.

So yeah, it's not been going well at all, but I'm adapting to survive and I'll get thru this one way or another - I don't care about creature comforts I just want to be able to get back to running this page and continuing to grow it, and get this insane nightmare behind me once and for all so I can return to my normal self and the things I love, like running this page and helping everyone with their storm anxiety and understanding the weather.

I wouldn't have made it this far without every single one of you pushing me to keep going. If you can spare a few bucks it'll help me out in a huge way and get me back to normal on the page faster as I still have so much to figure out when it comes to managing the page moving forwards, internet access, and somehow getting back to Livestreaming again but that seems like a lofty goal at this point.

To all my , thank you for being a part of this ride. It's been an incredible experience and the good you all have done for me far outweighs the bad, and while things will be shifting soon, there's excitement for the new adventures ahead.
I will turn this into a positive, beneficial outcome for everyone somehow, some way.
Major life change is never easy, its always scary, but ultimately necessary. I must remember to trust in God and my own ability.
Hey at least it's making me work my swiss cheese legs harder than ever before, maybe I'll regain more usage from them...

Cashapp: $MidAtlanticSevereWX
Venmo: -Kelly-1030
Paypal:
If a phone number is requested it's the same as the Whatsapp alert page number:
(443) 608-3573

13/07/2025

I cannot take any more of this. How can so much go so wrong at once... And keep going wrong....
I don't know when I'll be back, or even IF, at this point. One step forward leads to 3 steps back and I'm just so tired of being beat down. Everything I thought I had straight gets je**ed out from under me again and again.
Thank you all for the help and kind words of support, it has meant so much to me and helped me along in a huge way but I'm out of options yet again.
Every time I go left, life goes right. One moment of joy leads to more and more problems building up and I'm just trying to survive, but that even seems too much to ask anymore.
I'm so sorry I've failed everyone.

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