11/08/2026
Experimental model v16.1 - 93% historical accuracy v13.11-v13.15. Does not replace official alerts USGS / SGC / IGP.🌎 EARTHQUAKES + GLOBAL TEMPERATURE = ONE SINGLE SYSTEM
Many ask what heat has to do with earthquakes. This infographic v16.1 explains it.
It's not that heat directly causes earthquakes. It's the same accumulated energy.
📈 TODAY'S REAL DATA - 10 AUG 2026:
TEMPERATURE:
• Global daily CO2: 427.85 ppm on 08/08 - NOAA GML • Mauna Loa daily: 427.80 ppm, July monthly 429.12 ppm, May peak 432.3 ppm record high • Global Ocean June: 20.98°C, hottest June on record, beating 2023 and 2024, same record confirmed • April SST: 21.00°C second-highest on record • 46% of ocean with marine heatwaves in April, now 82% of ocean surface under marine heatwaves since June • 2nd warmest June globally, Western Europe warmest June-July on record, France July anomaly +3.8°C mean, +5.2°C max, +7°C on Atlantic coast, 38°C in Lorient
AMOC + ENSO:
• AMOC weakening: 2.6 ±0.7 Sv per decade 2004-2023, from 20 Sv down to 15 Sv, RAPID estimate 1.0 Sv/decade, projected 6-8 Sv drop (34-45%) by 2100 • ENSO transition towards El Niño conditions, 62% chance June-August - NOAA CPC, 80% chance WMO, 80% June-August with 90% persistence into late 2026
🌋 NEW EARTHQUAKES - WHAT I MISSED:
• COLOMBIA Chocó Mw 7.4 on 10 Aug 2026, at least 22 people killed, depth 110.3 km, felt in Venezuelan border state of Tachira • VENEZUELA twin quakes 7.2 and 7.5 with 39 seconds difference, main event 7.5, strongest in Venezuela in more than 125 years, shaking felt across Colombia • BORDER: M4.7 in Tachira, border with Colombia, M3.7 in Norte de Santander 85 km from Cúcuta • PERU chain: 379 quakes in 2026, M3.5 on 08/08, M4.7 NE Satipo 09/08, M4.4 S Chupaca 07/08
📍 WHERE WILL IT KEEP SHAKING? 30-DAY FORECAST v16.1:
🔴 JUNÍN - PERU 70% - Highly active cortex, validated pattern v13.19 100%. Window M5.0+
🟠 CHOCÓ - TÁCHIRA 60% - After today's 7.4, cortical stress high. Expected after