NIWA Weather

NIWA Weather Weather and climate updates for New Zealand and worldwide from NIWA's Forecasting Services team. Offenders may be blocked from contributing to our pages.

NIWAWeather provides accurate weather forecasts and climate outlooks for Aotearoa New Zealand. Our expertise and capabilities in the fields of weather and climate are significant, resulting from years of research, strong international partnerships, an extensive network of weather and climate stations and the computational power of our supercomputer – one of the most powerful of its kind in the Sou

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03/06/2026

Unsettled weather (🔵) will return in the coming days for much of the country, including the chance for heavy rain in parts of the North Island and upper South Island on Friday.

However, similar to what happened regularly in May, high pressure (🔴) then makes a comeback with settled conditions for much of next week.

~Seth

02/06/2026

NZ Winter Climate Outlook 2026

Winter’s kicked off, and it looks like El Niño is gearing up for a comeback. We’ll see more west–southwest winds, pretty average temps, but things could get pretty dry in a lot of places.

Meteorologists Jon Tunster and Chester Lampkin walk through the full winter outlook in their latest video.

29/05/2026

New Zealand holiday weather forecast!

The long weekend is kicking off dry and mostly settled across the country, enjoy it while it lasts. A strong, complex low is on the way and will bring heavy rain and wind to the west and upper South Island on Sunday, before shifting into the North Island on Monday.

Severe weather is likely for some areas, and MetService has already issued warnings for parts of the South Island. www.metservice.com

Full video forecast below.

28/05/2026

Long Weekend Forecast - Rain on the way?

After a settled and dry stretch under high pressure, conditions are set to change with a developing system in the Tasman Sea.

✅ Friday looks like the pick of the weekend - mostly dry with mild conditions across much of the country.
🌥️ Saturday stays largely fine, but you’ll start to notice increasing cloud and early signs of change.
🌧️ Sunday into Monday brings the main impact - periods of heavy rain, strengthening northerly to northeasterly winds, and potentially severe weather in exposed regions.

Stay up to date with the latest forecasts and weather watches via MetService.com

27/05/2026

🌵 Accumulated rainfall for May continues to run below normal or well below normal nearly everywhere in NZ with the exception of parts of the West Coast.

☔ Dry weather will continue for a few more days before a pattern shift brings wet conditions to NZ in early June.

~Seth

25/05/2026

⛅ The settled weather we've experienced for almost all of May will continue for several more days as stubborn high pressure sits over New Zealand.

🌧️ However, as the calendar flips to winter, a disturbance called the MJO (Madden-Julian Oscillation) will enter the western Pacific, likely causing a period of active weather to affect NZ over the first week or two of June.

~Seth

24/05/2026

Aside from a couple of passing fronts and the odd shower, most of the coming week sits under a broad ridge of high pressure, meaning another stretch of mostly dry, settled, and fine weather across Aotearoa/New Zealand.

👇 Your Monday outlook is in the video below, along with a quick preview of what the rest of the week has in store.

23/05/2026

🌅 You’ve probably heard the old saying:
“Red sky at night, shepherd’s delight. Red sky in the morning, shepherd’s warning.”

It actually has some science behind it, especially in places like New Zealand where our weather usually moves in from the west.

A red sky often happens when high pressure traps dust and other tiny particles in the atmosphere. When the sun is low on the horizon, its light has to travel through more of the atmosphere, and all those particles scatter the blue light away, leaving the sky glowing red and orange.

🌇 Red sky at night
If the sky is glowing red in the west at sunset, it usually means a high‑pressure system is moving in, bringing clearer, settled weather. That’s why the next day is often dry and pleasant.

🌄 Red sky in the morning
A red sunrise in the east means that high pressure has already passed over us and is moving away. What’s coming behind it from the west? Often a low pressure system, which can mean rain, wind, or sometimes severe weather on the way.

Additionally, our sun angle is lower this time of year a we head toward astronomical winter, which adds to the amount of atmosphere light has to travel through before it reaches your eyes.

So next time you see a fiery sunrise or a glowing sunset, you’re not just looking at a pretty sky, you’re getting a sneak peek at the weather pattern rolling across New Zealand.

Below is the sunrise from our camera from Lauder in Otago, 20 May 2026.

22/05/2026

Weekend weather for New Zealand 🌤️

High pressure is settling back in, which means a calm couple of days ahead. Most of the country stays dry, though a few showers could pop up in the lower half of the South Island and the upper North Island. A few spots of rain are possible about Wellington on Saturday.

Full video below.

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