24/07/2026
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 10
Tropical Storm KIYAPO (NOUL)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 24 July 2026
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 2:00 PM today.
KIYAPO SLIGHTLY INTENSIFIES AS IT MOVES CLOSER TO EXTREME NORTHERN LUZON
➣ Location of Center (10:00 AM)
The center of Tropical Storm KIYAPO was estimated based on all available data at 135 km East of Aparri, Cagayan (18.5°N, 122.9°E).
➣ Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 75 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 90 km/h, and central pressure of 996 hPa.
➣ Present Movement
Westward at 30 km/h
➣ Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to gale-force winds extend outwards up to 450 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No.2
➣ Wind threat: Gale-force winds
➣ Warning lead time: 24 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
Luzon:
Batanes, the northern portion of Cagayan (Santa Ana, Gonzaga, Santa Teresita, Camalaniugan, Aparri, Ballesteros, Abulug, Pamplona, Sanchez-Mira, Claveria, Santa Praxedes, Buguey, Allacapan, Lal-Lo, Gattaran, Baggao, Lasam) including Babuyan Islands, the northern portion of Apayao (Luna, Santa Marcela, Calanasan, Pudtol, Flora), and the northern portion of Ilocos Norte (Pagudpud, Dumalneg, Adams, Bangui, Burgos, Vintar).
TCWS No.1
➣ Wind threat: Strong winds
➣ Warning lead time: 36 hours
➣ Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
➣ Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
Luzon:
The rest of mainland Cagayan, Isabela, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, the rest of Apayao, Abra, Kalinga, Mountain Province, Ifugao, Benguet, the rest of Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, and La Union, and the northern and central portions of Aurora (Dilasag, Casiguran, Dinalungan, Dipaculao),
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 13 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to TC KIYAPO and the Southwest Monsoon.
Link: tinyurl.com/wxadvisory
Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
• Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
• Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The hoisting of Wind Signal No. 3 is not ruled out should KIYAPO intensify into a severe tropical storm while traversing the area of Batanes-Babuyan Islands.
The Southwest Monsoon and the periphery of KIYAPO will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
• Today: Most of the country.
• Tomorrow (25 July): Most of Luzon and Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, and Davao Oriental.
• Sunday (26 July): Ilocos Region, MIMAROPA, Zambales, Bataan, and Quezon.
HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is in effect over the northern seaboard of Northern Luzon. For more details, refer to Gale Warning No. 2 issued at 5:00 AM today.
Link: tinyurl.com/gale-warning
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 5.5 m: The seaboards of Batanes and Babuyan Islands.
• Up to 4.5 m: The northern seaboards of mainland Cagayan and Ilocos Norte.
• Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 3.0 m: The remaining seaboards of mainland Cagayan and Ilocos Norte; the northeastern seaboard of Isabela; the northern seaboard of Ilocos Sur; the eastern seaboard of Davao Oriental.
• Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
• Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Zambales and Surigao del Sur; the northern seaboard of Aurora; the western seaboard of Pangasinan; the remaining seaboards of Isabela and Ilocos Sur.
• Up to 2.0 m: The seaboards of Cuyo Islands, Kalayaan Islands, Cagayancillo Islands, and Davao Occidental; the northern seaboards of La Union, Camarines Norte, and Camarines Sur; the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands and Catanduanes; the eastern seaboards of Albay, Sorsogon, Northern Samar, Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, and Siargao-Bucas Grande Islands; the western seaboards of Bataan, Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands, mainland Palawan including Calamian Islands and Negros Occidental; the southern seaboards of Antique, Iloilo, Guimaras, Negros Oriental, Davao Oriental, and Sarangani; the remaining seaboard of Aurora.
• Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
• It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to “Other Hazards affecting Land Areas” for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
• KIYAPO will continue moving west northwestward until tomorrow (25 July) towards the Luzon Strait before turning northwestward to northward for the remaining forecast period. On the forecast track, the center of KIYAPO may pass close to the northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan between this morning and afternoon, then pass very close or make landfall in the vicinity of Babuyan Islands between this afternoon and evening. It is forecast to exit the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow morning.
• KIYAPO will continue to intensify while traversing Extreme Northern Luzon and may be upgraded into a severe tropical storm after passing the Babuyan Islands. While moving over the West Philippine Sea, it may undergo rapid intensification and reach typhoon category before making landfall over southern mainland China. Afterwards, KIYAPO is expected to weaken as it moves inland and interacts with the surrounding terrain of mainland China.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 2:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Link: tinyurl.com/TCB-tab-1
