10/07/2026
TROPICAL CYCLONE BULLETIN NR. 11
Typhoon (BAVI)
Issued at 11:00 AM, 10 July 2026
Valid for broadcast until the next bulletin at 5:00 PM today.
โINDAYโ CONTINUES TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD TOWARDS THE SEA EAST OF TAIWAN
โข Location of Center (10:00 AM)
The center of Typhoon INDAY was estimated based on all available data at 570 km East of Itbayat, Batanes (20.9ยฐN, 127.3ยฐE).
โข Intensity
Maximum sustained winds of 140 km/h near the center, gustiness of up to 170 km/h, and central pressure of 960 hPa.
โข Present Movement
Northwestward at 20 km/h
โข Extent of Tropical Cyclone Winds
Strong to typhoon-force winds extend outwards up to 860 km from the center
TROPICAL CYCLONE WIND SIGNALS (TCWS) IN EFFECT
TCWS No. 2
โข Wind threat: Gale-force winds
โข Warning lead time: 24 hours
โข Range of wind speeds: 62 to 88 km/h (Beaufort 8 to 9)
โข Potential impacts of winds: Minor to moderate threat to life and property
Luzon:
Batanes, the eastern portion of Babuyan Islands (Babuyan Is., Didicas Is., Camiguin Is.) and the northeastern portion of mainland Cagayan (Santa Ana)
TCWS No. 1
โข Wind threat: Strong winds
โข Warning lead time: 36 hours
โข Range of wind speeds: 39 to 61 km/h (Beaufort 6 to 7)
โข Potential impacts of winds: Minimal to minor threat to life and property
Luzon
The rest of Babuyan Islands, the rest of mainland Cagayan, Isabela, Apayao, the northern portion of Abra (Tineg, Lagayan, Danglas, San Juan, Lagangilang, Licuan-Baay, Malibcong, Lacub, Daguioman, Dolores, La Paz), Kalinga, the eastern portion of Mountain Province (Natonin, Paracelis), the eastern portion of Ifugao (Aguinaldo, Alfonso Lista), and Ilocos Norte
OTHER HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND AREAS
โฃ Heavy Rainfall Outlook
Refer to Weather Advisory No. 16 issued at 11:00 AM today for the heavy rainfall outlook due to TC INDAY and the Southwest Monsoon.
Link: tinyurl.com/wxadvisory
โฃ Severe Winds
The wind signals warn the public of the general wind threat over an area due to the tropical cyclone. Local winds may be slightly stronger/enhanced in coastal and upland/mountainous areas exposed to winds. Winds are less strong in areas sheltered from the prevailing wind direction.
โข Minor to moderate impacts from gale-force winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 2.
โข Minimal to minor impacts from strong winds are possible within any of the areas under Wind Signal No. 1.
The enhanced Southwest Monsoon and the periphery of Typhoon INDAY will bring strong to gale-force gusts over the following areas (especially in coastal and upland areas exposed to winds):
โข Today and tomorrow (11 July): Most of the country.
โข Sunday (12 July): Most of Luzon, most of Visayas, Zamboanga del Norte, Misamis Occidental, Lanao del Norte, Camiguin, and Davao Oriental
โฃ HAZARDS AFFECTING COASTAL WATERS
A Gale Warning is in effect over the northern and eastern seaboards of Luzon. For more details, refer to Gale Warning No. 6 issued at 5:00 AM today.
Link: tinyurl.com/gale-warning
24-Hour Sea Condition Outlook
Up to very rough seas over the following coastal waters:
โข Up to 7.0 m: The northern and eastern seaboards of Batanes.
โข Up to 6.0 m: The seaboards of Babuyan Islands; the northeastern seaboard of mainland Cagayan; the remaining seaboards of Batanes.
โข Up to 5.0 m: The remaining seaboards of mainland Cagayan.
โข Up to 4.5 m: The seaboards of Isabela and Camarines Norte; the northern and eastern seaboards of Catanduanes; the northern seaboard of Camarines Sur.
โข Sea travel is risky for all types or tonnage of vessels. All mariners must remain in port or, if underway, seek shelter or safe harbor as soon as possible until winds and waves subside.
Up to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
โข Up to 4.0 m: The northern seaboards of Ilocos Norte and Aurora; the northeastern seaboards of Northern Samar; the northern and eastern seaboards of Polillo Islands.
โข Up to 3.5 m: The northern seaboards of mainland Quezon and Northern Samar; the eastern seaboards of Albay, Sorsogon, Eastern Samar, Dinagat Islands, Bucas Grande-Siargao Islands, Surigao del Sur, and Davao Oriental; the remaining seaboards of Ilocos Norte, Aurora, and Catanduanes.
โข Up to 3.0 m: The seaboards of Ilocos Sur and Zambales; the western seaboards of Pangasinan, Bataan, Occidental Mindoro including Lubang Islands, and mainland Palawan including Calamian Islands; the northwestern seaboards of La Union
โข Mariners of small seacrafts, including all types of motorbancas, are advised not to venture out to sea under these conditions, especially if inexperienced of operating ill-equipped vessels.
Up to moderate to rough seas over the following coastal waters:
โข Up to 2.5 m: The seaboards of Romblon, Cuyo Islands, Cagayancillo Islands, and Antique; the western seaboards of Cavite, Batangas, and Negros Occidental; the southern seaboards of Marinduque, Iloilo, and Guimaras; the remaining seaboards of Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Northern Samar, and Davao Oriental.
โข Up to 2.0 m: The remaining seaboards of Visayas, Southern Luzon, Surigao del Norte, and Dinagat Islands; the seaboards of Camiguin, Misamis Oriental, and Zamboanga del Norte; the southern seaboards of Basilan, Sulu, Tawi-Tawi, and Davao Occidental.
โข Mariners of motorbancas and similarly sized vessels are advised to take precautionary measures while venturing out to sea and, if possible, avoid navigation under these conditions.
Other coastal waters have forecast wave heights of less than 2.0 m.
TRACK AND INTENSITY OUTLOOK
โข It must be emphasized that heavy rainfall and severe winds may still be experienced in localities outside the landfall point and the forecast confidence cone. Refer to โOther Hazards affecting Land Areasโ for more details. Furthermore, the track may still shift within the limit of the forecast confidence cone.
โข INDAY is forecast to generally move northwestward while remaining over the Philippine Sea and may pass closest to Extreme Northern Luzon between tonight and tomorrow (11 July) morning. Afterwards, INDAY will move toward the southern islands of Japan and may make landfall or pass close over the northern coast of Taiwan. It will then exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR) by tomorrow morning or afternoon and make landfall over the eastern coast of mainland China by tomorrow evening or Sunday (12 July) early morning.
โข INDAY is forecast to remain as a typhoon until it exits PAR. It will then weaken into a severe tropical storm after moving further inland over mainland China.
Considering these developments, the public and disaster risk reduction and management offices concerned are advised to take all necessary measures to protect life and property. Persons living in areas identified to be highly or very highly susceptible to these hazards are advised to follow evacuation and other instructions from local officials. For heavy rainfall warnings, thunderstorm/rainfall advisories, and other severe weather information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your local PAGASA Regional Services Division.
The next tropical cyclone bulletin will be issued at 5:00 PM today.
DOST-PAGASA
Link: tinyurl.com/TCB-tab-1
