07/08/2020
PUBLIC PERCEPTION SURVEY ON THE NATIONAL RESISTANCE MOVEMENT (NRM) CEC CONTEST BY GOLLOP AFRICA
Gollup Africa is a South African based poll company head quartered at Rose Bank Mall, Johannesburg. The company’s Chief pollster, Craig Kruger, who has over 25 years in conducting public perception surveys in Southern, eastern and western Africa said, “Our motivation in conducting these surveys is the collection, analysis and dissemination of reliable public perceptions data on relevant and contemporary political issues in different parts of Africa.
We have recently conducted an opinion poll in Tanzania and Zanzibar and are conducting another one in Kenya. We hope that actors in the political and civil society space can make use of data to analyse trends and appreciate their political environment better.”
The poll was funded by the University of Johannesburg’s Department of Politics and International Relations.
Methodology
This survey covered a sample 2,678 respondents aged 18 years and above. The survey design applied probability sampling which is regarded as the fundamental basis for survey research of this nature. The survey was carried out in 15 regions of Uganda. These include Acholi, Ankole, Buganda, Bugisu, Bukedi, Bunyoro, Busoga, Karamoja, Kigezi, Lango, Rwenzori, Sebei, Teso, Tooro and West Nile.
Respondents were selected basing on the KISH GRID. Respondents were interviewed through face to face interviews between the period of June and July 2020. In the case of Kampala, some respondents were interviewed on weekends and in the evenings.
The respondents were registered members of the National Resistance Movement (NRM) party.
Findings on public perceptions on the NRM Central Executive Committee race Gollop Africa asked respondents the following question: If voting was done today, whom would you vote for the following positions?
First vice chairperson-
Kefa Mafumo- 61%
Hakim Lukenge- 24%
Francis Babu- 8%
Kigongo Moses- 3%
Others- 4%
Second Vice Chairperson (women)
Rebecca Kadaga-----78%
Percis Namuganza—---10%
Others-----12%
Western region
Chris Baryomunsi—57%
Shaban Bantariza- 28%
Matayo Kyaligonza – 04%
Not sure----11%
Eastern region
Sanjay Tanna- 48%
Mike Mukula—30%
Undecided –22%
Northern Uganda
Sam Engola -40%
Jacob Oulanyah – 40%
Dr. Odong---15%
Undecided---5%
Central region
Moses Karangwa- 60%
Kiwanda Godfrey- 28%
Hajj Nadduli—5%
Others 5%
Kampala
Uhuru Salim---49%
Godfrey Nyakana—30%
Singh Katongole- 3%
Undecided—18%
