25/07/2017
Last week I watched the Kenyan presidential candidates opinion polls and analysts comments on many T,V stations.I think the pollsters owe Kenyans a lot of explanation and analysts researchers and general public need clear messages to avoid the mistakes that both researchers and general public make on the erroneous conclusions that many many in knowledge based research institutions present.The 2007 opinion polls almost prepared Kenya for the impending chaos by putting Raila who was leading all the way close to Kibaki.What happened was a crisis still justified in the eyes of opinion polls.The same was repeated in 2013 predicting a rerun and the same situation is being played this time.I have no idea how they arrived at the sample and analyzed their data.What is not clear is whether our research Institutes can play to the plague of reducing research to ones needs and situations and suppress the truth and give conclusions based on artificial one sided opinions.This has led Africa to consume knowledge rather than produce knowledge and create a precedent for future generations. Once credibility questions arise from internal consistency of data and validity, you have no research on conclusions .It remains a mystery how these two concluded almost the same and treading carefully over errors and then repeat their game in three Presidential elections 2007 2013 and now 2017.Some one should set up a Research commission to cushion the public and Presidential candidates from such and gain Credibility of the Research institutions.this opportunity was lost during parliamentary debate on Opinion polls.But its not lost we have the time to get more information and verify what they are telling US.Let the truth prevail in Scientific research to assure every one that Knowledge based decisions can propel our economy and management of Public Resources well as well as Political decisions in right direction.