06/18/2026
National Weather Service OVERVIEW/WHAT'S NEW: We have increased confidence in a potentially significant flash flood event today. The WPC has upgraded the flash flood threat to a rare HIGH RISK for today across southern portions of the area. A Flood Watch remains in effect for the entire area through Friday afternoon with upgrade in threat level to a Particularly Dangerous Situation. The severe risk has also been upgraded to a Slight Risk (level 2 of 5) for today with tornadoes and localized damaging winds possible. Strong onshore winds will bring hazardous conditions for small craft along with a high risk of rip currents and rough surf to area beaches, along with minor coastal flooding.
IMPACT #1 - Heavy Rainfall and Flash Flooding
WHAT: Multiple rounds of heavy rainfall and thunderstorms. Total rainfall accumulations of 6-12 inches with localized areas of 15+ inches possible. Significant to locally CATASTROPHIC flooding possible.
WHEN: Through Friday.
WHERE: The entire area.
CONFIDENCE: High confidence in impactful heavy rainfall and flooding through Friday.
IMPACT #2 - Severe Weather
WHAT: Isolated tornadoes and damaging wind gusts possible.
WHEN: Today and Friday. The tornado threat will peak today with damaging winds being the primary concern for Friday.
WHERE: The entire area, with a greater threat southeast of a Camden, AL to Wiggins, MS line.
CONFIDENCE: Medium confidence in a few tornadoes today. Low to medium confidence in damaging winds on Friday.
IMPACT #3 - High risk of rip currents, high surf, minor coastal flooding, and a Small Craft Advisory.
WHAT: Persistent onshore flow brings a high risk of rip currents, increasing surf/wave heights to 5-7 feet, and minor coastal flooding in typical trouble spots.
WHEN: High risk of rip currents continues through Saturday afternoon with a High Surf Advisory through early Friday evening. The Coastal Flood Advisory will be in effect from 10AM-7PM tomorrow. Small craft advisory is in effect through tonight.
WHERE: High rip current risk and increasing surf for all beaches with minor coastal flooding for southern/central Mobile and Baldwin counties.
CONFIDENCE: High confidence in rip currents with increasing surf heights through Friday. Low to medium confidence in coastal flooding.