Chism Strategies

03/03/2026

Brannon Miller described a different picture of the Texas Democratic U.S. Senate primary in an interview with Salon out today, pushing back on the national narrative that the race is locked in.

“A lot has really changed in the last few weeks, and part of that is the unsettled nature of the primary, but there’s just been a couple of weeks of really good news cycles for Talarico,” Miller said.

Read more:

Both Jasmine Crockett and James Talarico have a theory of politics to test

02/26/2026

Texas may be the most interesting of this year’s Senate contests, with competitive primaries on both sides and potential for an upset in November.

Our new survey takes a deeper dive into the primary electorate to see how voters in Texas view their options:

Texas may be the most interesting of this year’s Senate contests, with competitive primaries on both sides and potential for an upset in November. We thought it would therefore be interesting to do a deeper dive on the primary electorate and see how voters in Texas view their options.

06/24/2025

Brannon Miller sits down with San Antonio Express-News City Hall reporter Molly Smith and ENSide Politics host Greg Jefferson to discuss next year's race for the U.S. Senate, the upcoming campaign for public dollars for a Spurs arena, and more.

WATCH:

Democratic pollster Brannon Miller, City Hall reporter Molly Smith and host Greg Jefferson discuss next year's race for the U.S. Senate, the upcoming campaig...

03/17/2025

Our latest survey highlights American attitudes toward foreign policy, revealing strong but divided opinions on NATO, perceptions of global threats, the U.S. role in international affairs, and policies on Ukraine and foreign aid. Partisan and generational splits are evident throughout, shaping how voters engage with these issues.

Read our key takeaways:

Our latest survey highlights American attitudes toward foreign policy, revealing strong but divided opinions on NATO, perceptions of global threats, the U.S. role in international affairs, and policies on Ukraine and foreign aid. Partisan and generational splits are evident throughout, shaping how v...

11/02/2024

Headed into the last week of the campaign, we conducted surveys in Virginia, Minnesota, and Maryland.

Each of these states is outside the seven key swing states, and each has a Senate race, with varying degrees of competitiveness among the three. We also felt that each had been under-surveyed by other pollsters in the runup to November 5th.

Here's our analysis:

Headed into the last week of the campaign, we conducted surveys in Virginia, Minnesota, and Maryland. Each of these states is outside the seven key swing states, and each has a Senate race, with varying degrees of competitiveness among the three. We also felt that each had been under-surveyed by oth...

08/15/2024

As you gear up for GOTV efforts this fall, we want to remind you about the best practices (backed by social science research) when it comes to messaging voters.

Read more:

Social pressure remains the most reliable strategy for increasing voter turnout across all demographic groups. This approach involves reminding voters that voting is a social norm and making them feel accountable to that norm. Research from 2022 shows that social pressure messaging, particularly thr...

06/04/2024

We're proud to celebrate with our client, Chairwoman Lisa Cupid, on another well-deserved victory in Georgia! We're happy to keep following the Chairwoman's continued success moving Cobb County forward!

We did it! We won the primary election on Tuesday! Thank you to everyone who supported my campaign and believed in our vision for Cobb County. This victory wouldn't have been possible without the incredible support and dedication from our community.

As we move towards the general election, your support is more crucial than ever. Let's keep the momentum going and continue to build a brighter future for all.

There are many ways you can contribute to our campaign — visit www.cupidforcobb.com in our bio to sign up as a volunteer or submit a donation.

05/29/2024

Congratulations to our client, Georgia incumbent Democrat Nan Orrock, on receiving a vote of confidence from District 36 to continue working in the State Senate! We know Sen. Orrock will fight hard to preserve democracy, secure voting rights, protect reproductive freedom, and fund public schools.

Thanks to Senate District 36 voters for your overwhelming support! And thanks to my generous contributors and endorsers as well! With your backing, I received 83% of the votes cast! I pledge to continue working hard for our shared values. Now let’s secure a Biden-Harris victory in November!

05/28/2024

We're proud to have played a part in Congressman David Scott's re-election win in the Democratic nomination for U.S. House in a sharply reconfigured suburban district. The veteran lawmaker was the first Black House member to chair the Agriculture Committee and represents a heavily-Democratic multi-county swath of metro Atlanta. Congratulations to Congressman Scott!

05/17/2024

On Monday, the New York Times and Siena College released their latest presidential battleground poll, covering six key swing states (AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, and WI). The headline: among likely voters in these states, Donald Trump led Joe Biden 42%-36%, leading the President in five of six states (Biden led by one in MI), even as Democratic candidates for Senate led or tied in the states they tested.

The “good” news for Biden in this poll is that 42% + 36% ≠ 100%, and many voters either remain undecided or say they are supporting a third-party candidate—with independent Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. at a particularly notable 9%.

If Kennedy manages to get 9% in this election, it would be the highest share for a third-party candidate since 1992. But who are Kennedy’s voters (and which of the two major-party candidates are they pulling from)?

Read more of our insight into the poll here: https://chismstrategies.com/the-nyt-siena-poll-and-the-kennedy-factor.

On Monday, the New York Times and Siena College released their latest presidential battleground poll, covering six key swing states (AZ, GA, MI, NV, PA, and WI). The headline: among likely voters in these states, Donald Trump led Joe Biden 42%-36%, leading the President in five of six states (Biden....

05/01/2024

For nearly a decade, members of the Chism Strategies team have volunteered in advocacy efforts focused on making the United Methodist Church more welcoming to all. We are gratified by today’s actions.

In a meeting on Wednesday, church leaders also voted to allow L.G.B.T.Q. weddings.

02/16/2024

Our most recent poll in WI-03 shows Democratic state Rep. Katrina Shankland has the clear edge in a General Election matchup and holds a lead on GOP Rep. Derrick Van Orden.

STEVENS POINT, Wis— Today, the Katrina Shankland for Congress campaign released a new general election poll showing that voters give Katrina Shankland an edge after learning about each of the candidates in the race for WI-03. The poll was conducted by...