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A warming trend is expected this weekend and into next week. Temperatures will be above normal for the next 5 days. Rain and storms will return Sunday night into Monday as a strong weather system lifts through the area. Gusty winds of 45-50 mph are expected on Monday as well.
A strong storm system will bring gusty winds, rain, and a few thunderstorms to the area Sunday night through Monday night. There is the potential for wind gusts over 45 mph. Rain totals of a half-inch to one inch will be common, with the highest amounts northwest of the Illinois River.
Sunday evening into Monday, a strong storm system will bring gusty winds, rain, and a few thunderstorms to the area. There is the potential for wind gusts over 45 mph, rainfall totals of a half inch to one inch, and a few strong thunderstorms. The strongest wind gusts are expected Monday afternoon.
Chilly tonight, with a light wintry mix possible across portions of central Illinois, but a warming trend is expected this weekend. Rain and windy conditions return Sunday evening into Monday.
A light wintry mix is expected to overspread parts of central Illinois from west to east tonight. While precipitation amounts will be light, temperatures below freezing could lead to slick spots developing on roadways. The best chance for light ice accumulations is near the I-72 corridor.
A strong storm system will bring gusty winds Sunday night through Monday night, though uncertainty surrounds just how windy it will get. There is the potential for some gusts to reach 45 to 50 mph south of I-72/Danville during the day.
Today will be on the cooler side, but through the weekend and into next week, temperatures will warm to above normal for end of February. Rain chances return Sun night and continue through Monday.
A strong storm system will bring gusty winds Sunday night through Monday night, though uncertainty surrounds just how windy it will get. Check out some of the spread in model guidance on the intensity of peak winds.
Here's a look at rain totals from Tuesday night through yesterday. The shaded values are radar estimated amounts, while the numerical values speckling the map are some of our ground-truth observations.
A strong storm system will approach the region late Sunday, bringing more rain and strong winds Sunday night through Monday.
After a cold night with wind chills likely dipping into the single digits north of I-72, temperatures will slowly rise tomorrow, Saturday, and Sunday when rain chances increase ahead of the next storm system.
The heaviest rain yesterday fell in a band from Beardstown east-northeast through Paxton. We've received a few 3+" inch reports, including at our office.
With a cold front pushing across the region today, expect a wide range in temperatures from west to east, with high temperatures occurring in the morning. While Friday will be much cooler, this will not last long, and highs in the 40s and 50s are expected this weekend. The next significant chance of rain is expected Sunday night and Monday.
Here's a look at some of the highest rainfall reports we've received as of Wednesday evening:
As of 6PM, the daily rainfall total at our office in Lincoln was 3.37" (with light rain still falling). This not only breaks the previous daily rainfall record for February 22nd, but it breaks the daily rainfall record in Lincoln for any day in February! The previous February daily rainfall record in Lincoln was 2.09" on Feb 4th, 1942. Records began in 1905.
Thunderstorms will come to and end this evening, though temperatures south of I-72 will remain well above normal through the night. Tomorrow, a cold front will bring a rapid cool down, with Friday morning lows possibly dipping into the teens for a chunk of the area.
A line of strong to severe storms was moving east near the I-70 corridor. These storms are on track to reach Effingham by 3:30pm, and Shelbyville by 3:35pm. These storms have a history of producing scattered wind damage, and gusts of 50-60 mph are possible. Strong winds gusts may arrive earlier than the actual storms, so be prepared to take shelter.
A line of thunderstorms will race northeast across parts of the area, mainly south of I-72, bringing a chance for damaging wind gusts, hail, and isolated tornadoes. A tornado watch has been issued, and will remain in effect until 6 PM CST.
We had a few hail-producing storms across our area this morning. One that tracked from north Shelbyville through Sullivan/Allenville, and another that tracked northeast from the Charleston area. If you have any reports, especially of quarter size or larger hail, please let us know.
[9:17 am] - Scattered storms are ongoing across the area this morning. Brief periods of heavy rain, lightning, and small hail are possible with these storms.
Due to the threat of severe weather, we will not conduct our weekly NOAA Weather Radio test today. We will plan on doing the test tomorrow (Thursday).
7:20 am Update:
New information just received on today's severe weather outlook:
➡️ Risk level 2 of 5 (yellow area on the map) expanded east to near I-57.
➡️ Low tornado potential (2% chance) now as far east as the Indiana border from Danville southward.
➡️ Isolated large hail possible from about I-70 north to a Beardstown-Bloomington line.
Main time frame of concern remains between 1 pm and 5 pm. The earlier period would be in areas near and west of I-55, with the latter time period near and east of I-57.
The NOAA Weather Radio station for the Champaign area, WXJ-76 on a frequency of 162.550 MHz, is operating in a severely degraded mode. The broadcast is effectively limited to about a 5 to 7 mile radius of the transmitter site (WCIA-TV tower near Seymour). The problem is due to a damaged antenna that occurred during a recent high wind event. An estimated time of repair is still unknown at this time, but we will continue to provide updates as soon as they are available.
We continue to focus on the possibility of strong to severe thunderstorms this afternoon. The best chances appear to be south of a Beardstown to Springfield line (threat level 2 of 5), though some strong storms may occur as far north as the I-74 corridor. Damaging winds are the primary concern, though there is a small risk of brief tornadoes in areas from about Havana to Springfield west.
Heavy rain continues to be a threat, with the heaviest amounts of over 1.5" most likely in an area from Havana northeast to Kankakee. The heaviest rain is expected during the middle to late afternoon hours.
With a warm front hanging out across central Illinois today, expect a wide range in temperatures. Areas north of there will only see highs in the 40s, while those to the south soar well into the 60s. The strong south winds bringing those 60s will also gust from 40 to 45 mph this afternoon south of I-70, where a Wind Advisory is in effect.
On Thursday, most areas will see high temperatures occur in the morning, as the parent storm system moves through and brings colder air to the region.
Winds may gust up to 45 mph south of I-70 on Wednesday. These gusts will then expand to include most of central Illinois by Thursday.
A wide range in temperatures is anticipated through midweek as a slow-moving frontal system bisects central Illinois. Conditions turn sharply colder Thursday evening once the cold front pushes through the region.
The threat for severe weather on Wednesday has expanded further east and now includes most of central Illinois. The main hazard associated with any organized thunderstorm will be damaging wind gusts exceeding 60 mph. The strongest storms will push across the area between 1pm - 6pm Wednesday afternoon.
Another windy period is on tap mid week. South of a warm front on Wednesday, some gusts will approach 40 mph near and south of I-70. A more widespread area of 40-45 mph winds is likely Thursday, highest near and north of I-74, as the storm system exits the region.
The latest model data continues to focus on a corridor from near Rushville northeast across the Peoria metro to near Chicago, for the heaviest rainfall from our mid week system. Amounts of 1.5 to 2 inches are expected in these areas. While widespread flooding is not expected, some localized ponding of water will be possible in the mid to late afternoon hours, when rainfall rates will be heaviest. In addition, a few strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible mid to late afternoon, generally west of the Peoria and Springfield areas, with damaging winds the main concern.
We'll see quite the range in temperatures across central and southeast Illinois the next few days. Areas near and south of I-70 will be well into the 60s Wednesday and Thursday, and may even nudge 70 degrees. Meanwhile, 40s will be more common from Galesburg east. With a warm front in place on Wednesday, widespread rain and thunderstorms will occur near and north of I-72, while they are more scattered south of there until afternoon and evening.
Winds will also be on the increase with the arrival of the warmer air. Gusts near 40 mph are expected near and south of I-70 Wednesday, and may be over 45 mph near the I-74 corridor on Thursday.
The central Illinois wind machine will crank up once again Wednesday and Thursday as a strong storm system lifts through the region. Gusts are likely to exceed 40 mph both days.
Here's a closer look at the rainfall forecast for Wednesday. The axis of heaviest rainfall currently extends from Quincy to Bloomington to Kankakee, and while it is subject to change some between now and Wednesday, our confidence in receiving localized amounts exceeding 2" is increasing.
A strong storm system will bring scattered T-storms and gusty winds to central Illinois by Wednesday. Blustery conditions will then continue into Thursday with west winds gusting between 35-45 mph.
Warm air will dominate central Illinois for much of this week. Widespread rains return on Wednesday, with potential for some flash flooding during periods of intense rainfall. Strong winds will develop following the rainy system, with W-SW winds gusting to 45 mph on Thursday.
Temperatures will be fairly mild over the upcoming week, with highs mainly in the upper 40s and 50s, aside from one cool day Friday with highs mainly in the 30s. A strong storm system Wednesday will bring rain, locally heavy, with scattered thunderstorms, followed by strong winds that could gust over 40 mph Thursday.
Heavy rain is possible Wednesday, although storm track, timing, and strength uncertainty continues. Widespread rainfall amounts up to 2 inches are possible, with locally higher amounts possible. Locations of heaviest rainfall appear likeliest near and north of I-72. Localized flash flooding is possible, especially in urban and low lying flood prone rural areas if impacts by multiple thunderstorms. Rises in streams and rivers are also possible.
Temperatures will remain above normal over the holiday weekend, as highs rise to the upper 40s to mid 50s. The above normal temperatures will continue into midweek. A front associated with a storm system Wednesday looks to bring a large temperature range across the area, ranging from highs of 48 in Galesburg to 67 in Olney on Wednesday, with showers and thunderstorms likely. Other than scattered sprinkles tonight, dry conditions are expected through the holiday weekend.
A warm weekend will extend into next week. However, widespread rainfall returns by Wednesday. Temperatures could surge into the 60s on Wednesday south of the I-72 to Danville corridor.
Good morning, central Illinois!
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1:40 am Update: The high clouds over Illinois are pretty thin and shouldn't impact eclipse viewing, but thicker clouds (shown in light blue) moving northeast may cause some viewing issues in parts of the state later. Eclipse times: Partial eclipse phase begins 3:09 am Totality: 4:17-5:42 am The tail end of the eclipse will not be visible as it will occur after moonset.
[Midnight Update] -- Rain has increased in coverage tonight across central Illinois and will persist into the early morning hours of Saturday. Isolated thunderstorms remain a possibility, but otherwise, wind gusts will really begin to ramp up over the next few hours with occasional gusts exceeding 50 mph into Saturday morning.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue mainly north of I-72 until early afternoon before exiting central IL to the north. Brief heavy downpours, lightning, and small hail possible with the strongest thunderstorms. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
[11:09 am] - Showers will continue across parts of central IL through this afternoon. Pockets of moderate to occasionally heavy rain may result in localized ponding of water in low lying areas and on roadways, especially where leaves or debris may have clogged storm drains. #ilwx
[8:27 am] - Areas of showers will continue across the area over the next several hours. Be alert for localized ponding of water on roadways where leaves or debris may have clogged storm drains. #ilwx
A cold front is pushing southeast across central IL this evening. Northwest winds gusting 25-35 mph and scattered showers will be common for a couple hours behind the frontal passage. Dry weather and lighter winds will move in after midnight. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
Scattered showers and thunderstorms will sweep into central IL late this afternoon and evening along a strong cold front. Brief small hail, heavy downpours, as well as gusty winds to 40 mph possible. Northwest winds 15 to 20 mph behind the front. https://radar.weather.gov/station/KILX/standard #ilwx
Isolated to scattered showers in central IL tonight. There could also be an isolated thunderstorm or two. Rainfall amounts will generally be a few hundredths or less, but there is potential for a few spots with a quarter inch. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
After a long dry period for the past few weeks, a band of scattered showers, mainly light, will move across central IL this evening. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KILX_loop.gifThere could also be an isolated thunderstorm or two over the area. #ilwx
4:30 pm Update: Lots of showers are moving eastward late this afternoon, though with dry air in place over eastern Illinois, the rain has been a bit slower to get going over there. Expect these showers to continue a good portion of the evening, so be prepared to get a little wet if you're attending any Friday evening football games.
A slow moving band of showers and isolated thunderstorms extends from west central Illinois to near Lincoln as of 145 pm. Expect this band to begin to shift southeastward this afternoon with a few strong storms possible. The strongest thunderstorms could produce isolated hail and locally strong wind gusts over 50 mph. Any thunderstorms could produce ponding of water on roadways. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
A slow moving band of showers and isolated thunderstorms extends from west central Illinois to near Lincoln as of 145 pm. Expect this band to begin to shift southeastward this afternoon with a few strong storms possible. The strongest thunderstorms could produce isolated hail and locally strong wind gusts over 50 mph. Any thunderstorms could produce ponding of water on roadways. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
A slow moving band of showers and isolated thunderstorms extends from west central into central Illinois this morning, slowly weakening. Thunderstorms may produce ponding of water on roadways and some isolated gusty winds to 40 mph. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
A band of showers and isolated thunderstorms is settling slowly southeast through central IL. Expect ponding of water on roadways under the heavier downpours through mid morning. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
Isolated showers and thunderstorms continue across central IL, while a band of steadier rain moves in from the west. Isolated torrential rain in thunderstorms could lead to flash flooding with any slower moving storms. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
Isolated showers and thunderstorms over eastern parts of central Illinois. A band of steady rain with a few thunderstorms moving in from the west. Isolated torrential rain in thunderstorms could lead to flash flooding with any slower moving storms. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/standard/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
[10 AM Update]: Steady light rain will continue into the afternoon and evening hours, especially for locations east of Interstate 55. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
Widely scattered showers have developed across eastern Illinois late this morning, with much of the activity east of I-55. These scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms should continue to move to the northeast through the early afternoon hours. #ILwx
A cold front heading SE toward Peoria could still develop isolated showers and thunderstorms this evening, although activity along the front will likely continue to decrease. Any storms could produce gusty winds over 30 mph and isolated small hail. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
Isolated thunderstorms along a line from Burlington to northeast IL moving SE toward central IL. Storms could produce gusty winds to 40 mph and isolated small hail from Macomb to Peoria northward through 7 pm. https://radar.weather.gov/ridge/lite/KILX_loop.gif #ilwx
Isolated thunderstorms are developing along a cold front heading SE toward the Galesburg area. Storms could produce gusty winds to 40 mph and isolated small hail from Macomb to Peoria northward through 7 pm. #ilwx
Strong to severe storms remain possible later this afternoon into this evening. Here is one model's take on how storms may evolve. The primary threats within any stronger storms will be damaging wind gusts and large hail. Stay weather aware later today! #ilwx
8:35 am Update: Hurricane Ida is located about 100 miles south of New Orleans with 150 mph sustained winds. Landfall is expected early this afternoon.
[11:47 AM] - Scattered storms have developed across east-central IL late this morning. Primary hazards within any storm are heavy rainfall, lightning, gusty winds, and small hail. Seek shelter indoors when storms approach. #ilwx
[4:18 PM] - Strong to severe storms have developed across parts of central and east-central IL late this afternoon. Primary threats within any strong storms will be damaging winds, isolated large hail, and heavy rainfall. Seek shelter indoors when storms approach. #ilwx
[2:05 PM] - Storms have fired up along the IL/IN border this afternoon. Gusty winds, heavy rainfall, and lightning are the main threats at this time. #ilwx
Scattered showers and few lightning strikes remain possible this evening in central IL, however severe thunderstorm potential has diminished over the central part of the state, but continues in southern Illinois. #ilwx
[6:22 PM] - A few strong storms continue across portions of southern and southeast IL early this evening. Strong winds, hail, and torrential rainfall are the main threats. Seek shelter indoors when storms approach. #ilwx
[4:09 PM] - Strong to severe storms continue to sag south into parts of central and southeast IL. Damaging winds, isolated large hail, and torrential rainfall are the primary threats with these storms. #ilwx
Here's a plot of the lightning that occurred across central Illinois each hour between midnight and 6 am. Those of you south of I-72 were spoiled by not getting woken up by these storms. 🙂
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