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08/19/2023

08/11/2023

08/01/2023

Russia, Niger, and coup politics in Africa, Putin In Panic Mode

Without exception, it can be said that Russian diplomacy in Africa is wavering. Only 21 African heads of state gathered at the Russia-Africa Summit in St. Petersburg, far fewer than in 2019 when 45 heads of state gathered. (By contrast, 50 people attended President Biden's summit in Africa last December.)

The reason for the low voter turnout could be President Vladimir Putin's withdrawal from the grain deal with Ukraine, which has caused huge price hikes across Africa. Putin has now promised several African countries free grain over the next four months. As the summit unfolded, West Africa witnessed another wave of upheaval for the seventh time since 2020. Niger's democratically elected president has been overthrown. A general was appointed head of state and opposition politicians were arrested.

In recent years, coups have also occurred in Mali, Burkina Faso, Guinea, Chad and Sudan. A former French colony, Niger is of particular importance to the United States as a military partner in the fight against terrorism.

The US has a drone base and deploys over 1,000 troops in Niger. Niger also has large uranium deposits. The political leanings of the coup leadership are unclear, but have raised suspicions. The African Union condemned the coup. The West African economic bloc ECOWAS is demanding the reinstatement of the president and even threatening military intervention. The US State Department called for the restoration of democracy, but chose not to recognize the coup as a coup in order to preserve legal avenues for continued military cooperation with the coup regime.

Coup d'état politics in Africa has become a Russian specialty, and the Russian mercenary group Wagner, commanding about 1,000 troops, may continue to be found operating in Niger. Wagner supported coups in the other three countries he mentioned.

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07/27/2023

Putin Will Declare War On The Whole World.

A Black Sea blockade on Ukraine would affect everyone on the planet. Yesterday, British military intelligence reported that Russia's Black Sea Fleet may be planning a naval blockade to intercept and seize merchant ships entering and leaving Ukraine. The most obvious result would be a ban on Ukrainian grain exports. Russia recently withdrew from a deal that would allow such grain exports to continue, launching rocket attacks on Ukrainian ports and granaries.

Could Russia impose such a blockade? Grain carriers could therefore leave Odessa, move south along the coast and stay in Romanian, Bulgarian and Turkish territorial waters. Any intervention by Russia would be an act of war against NATO member countries. In the past, blockade breakers have done this in the Persian Gulf, circumventing UN sanctions against Iraq while remaining in Iranian waters. However, this adds significantly to the travel time and is inconvenient as large freighters are reluctant to follow winding roads close to the coast.

Therefore, some grain will continue to be shipped by sea, and most of it may be transported overland by rail, although rail is generally more expensive and has limited capacity. Insurance premiums will also rise, perhaps to the point that most major shipping companies would be horrified. The lockdown won't be perfect, but it will severely limit supplies and increase costs. Is this bad news for Ukrainians? not much. They will lose some of their foreign currency earnings, but that is unlikely to be their biggest problem.

Either way, the Ukrainian economy is bankrupt. Built entirely on martial law, military spending accounts for 34% of nominal GDP and public debt is exploding. It is clear that Ukrainians do not care about the loss of grain income even if they go bankrupt. If they beat Russia, the West will just have to pay back a little more of the reconstruction loan later. But a possible Russian blockade would not actually be aimed at Ukrainians, but all other inhabitants of the world. For many people in Africa, higher grain prices could mean hunger, or even starvation. there will be hits

The result: As feed prices rise, it's not just grain-based products that will be affected. Food costs in England will be even higher than they are now. New demand for meat and dairy products is growing rapidly in China, which means higher costs. By ordering such a blockade, President Vladimir Putin hoped to weaken Western support for Ukraine and make Africa and China more reliable allies, but it would be a direct threat to Ukraine itself. no impact. So what can we do? One of the options already offered is convoys. Warships of countries that wish to join NATO can es**rt convoys of merchant ships from the Bosphorus to Ukrainian waters, guaranteeing passage rights on the high seas, but Russia's attack on these warships is again an act of war. will be attacked by About NATO.

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07/20/2023

07/18/2023

Eyewitnesses Said The US Soldier Got Into Trouble With The Military While Laughing While Walking Through The North Korean Demilitarized Zone.

American soldiers crossed the border between South and North Korea on Tuesday.
And he would laugh as he crossed the heavily fortified borders and entered the dictatorship. A soldier named Travis King also reportedly had problems with the US military.

A U.S. Army soldier, who was reportedly arrested after entering North Korea from South Korea on Tuesday, is said to have laughed as he crossed the heavily fortified border into the communist country. According to reports, the soldier was initially identified as a low-ranking soldier named Travis King and had trouble with the US military.
A US official told 'Head of Politics' that the soldier had returned to the US from South Korea for disciplinary reasons. Details were not immediately clear.

The soldier was es**rted to the airport, but did not board the plane, but instead took a private border tour before entering North Korea, an official told 'Head of Politics'. A witness who was in the same tour group as the soldier told the news agency, "This guy is just running between buildings, yelling 'hahaha'."
Witnesses said the military reacted immediately to the man's actions. "At first I thought it was a bad joke, but when he didn't come back, I realized it wasn't, and then people reacted and things got crazy," an eyewitness told 'Head of politics'.

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