NOAA NWS Climate Prediction Center

06/05/2026

The first true heat wave of the summer will arrive next week across much of the Central and Southern Plains, eventually making its way to the east coast towards the end of the week.

05/28/2026

High pressure and southerly flow favor heat index values reaching the mid-upper 90’s F across the north-central U.S. during week-2, supporting a moderate risk of extreme heat. A risk of Rapid Onset Drought has been designated for parts of the Middle and Upper Mississippi Valley.

05/26/2026

A wet start to June is favored for Florida, which may bring much needed drought relief. According to the U.S. Drought Monitor valid May 19, nearly three-quarters of the state is designated with extreme (D3) to exceptional (D4) drought.

05/21/2026

Early preparation essential to staying safe all season

05/21/2026

05/15/2026

Southerly flow from the Gulf and a stationary front favor increasing chances of heavy rainfall along with localized river and flash flooding across portions of the south-central and southeastern U.S. beginning next week and continuing into the Memorial Day holiday weekend.

05/14/2026

El Niño is likely to emerge soon (82% chance in May-July 2026) and continue through Northern Hemisphere winter 2026-27 (96% chance in December 2026 – February 2027). An Watch remains in effect. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ensodisc.shtml

05/05/2026

May looks to be a busy month for possible tropical cyclone (TC) formation over parts of the western North Pacific. There is a 20-40% chance of TC formation around Guam and the CNMI during week-2, and greater than 60% chance of TC development in this same region during week-3.

05/05/2026

Temperatures are likely to reach the upper 90’s to around 100 degrees F centered over portions of the Central and Southern High Plains, with heat index values of 100-105 degrees F. Dry, gusty surface winds may elevate wildfire risk during the first few days of the week-2 period.

05/04/2026

Triple-digit heat is likely for parts of California and the Southwest late this weekend into next week, with highs potentially reaching 110 degrees F in the Desert Southwest, and 100 to 105 degrees F in southern sections of the Central Valley of CA.