07/20/2026
New national polling reveals a shift worth paying attention to: openness to a strong independent candidate is now nearly identical across party lines.
In the latest wave of Independent Center Voice’s national tracking survey, Republican openness jumped 7.6 points — from 62.7% to 70.3% — the largest single move anywhere in the data. That shift closes a gap that, just six weeks earlier, had Republicans trailing Independents and Democrats by 9 to 16 points.
The result: for the first time in this tracking, all three groups are within roughly 6 points of each other —
🔹 Independents: 75.9%
🔹 Democrats: 72.4%
🔹 Republicans: 70.3%
What hasn’t moved yet is action: only 6.3% of respondents currently say they’d choose an independent candidate on their district’s ballot today, even with ~70% overall openness to the idea. Awareness — not appetite — remains the biggest barrier.
This data comes from a survey of 1,000 U.S. adults conducted July 13–14, 2026, with a margin of error of ±3.1 percentage points.
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