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Crown Weather Services is your one-stop weather information source by providing tropical storm & hur

Crown Weather Services is your one-stop weather information source for tropical, severe and winter weather information; this includes advanced notice/warnings of impending tropical storms and hurricanes, winter storms and severe thunderstorms and tornadoes. We also have Crown Weather PLUS, which is our subscription service for anybody with an interest or need for accurate and timely weather inform

ation with an emphasis on tropical storms and hurricanes Go to https://crownweather.com/index.php/cws-plus/crown-weather-subsciption/ to learn more about Crown Weather PLUS.

08/31/2026

Posted Late Monday Afternoon 8/31/2026: We have TROPICAL DEPRESSION #5 located in the northern Gulf & is likely to strengthen into a Tropical Storm tonight or on Tuesday morning.

It is expected that this system will come ashore along the upper Texas coast during Tuesday afternoon as a 60 mph tropical storm.

Areas along the upper Texas coast and across southwestern Louisiana from near Galveston & Houston through Sabine Pass to about Lake Charles will be the area that sees tropical storm conditions during the day on Tuesday. This will include up to 50-60 mph wind gusts and rain, which will be locally heavy. Rainfall amounts along the upper Texas coast and across southwestern Louisiana will be on the order of 1 to 3 inches with isolated 4 to 6 inch rain totals possible.

In addition, minor to locally moderate coastal flooding is a possibility along the upper Texas coast and across coastal southwestern Louisiana tonight and Tuesday.

I am frequently updating our Crown Weather PLUS subscribers about the progress of Tropical Depression #5. Want to stay updated on this system? Become a subscriber!! The link to learn more and to subscribe to Crown Weather PLUS can be found in the first comment of this post. Your subscriptions and support keeps us in business.

08/30/2026

Posted Early Sunday Afternoon 8/30/2026: We are closely watching two systems - (1) The remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, which is moving across the northeastern Caribbean today & (2) An area of low pressure, Invest 97-L, which is located over the Northern Gulf.

REMNANTS OF DOLLY: There is quite a bit of uncertainty as to what the remnants of Dolly may or may not do during this upcoming week. Very strong wind shear is currently impacting this system & even though it is putting up a fight against this shear, it’s quite possible that Dolly may never regenerate and redevelop.

That being said, systems like Ex-Dolly are ones that you can never completely write off this time of year. We have a long history of systems that have weakened to the point of almost dissipation that have come roaring back under a favorable environment.

It should be noted that the environmental conditions are expected to be potentially favorable later this coming week when this system reaches the area between the Bahamas and the eastern Gulf. This is why we are seeing models such as the European model and the Canadian model showing robust strengthening in the eastern Gulf at the very end of this coming week.

MY TAKE IS THAT I think there is a 50-50 chance that we will see the remnants of Dolly regenerate and redevelop probably in the eastern Gulf by about Friday or Saturday (although redevelopment in the western Bahamas is still possible too).

I am sending out at least once a day updates on the remnants of Dolly to our Crown Weather PLUS subscribers. Want to stay updated on this system? Become a subscriber!! The link to learn more and to subscribe to Crown Weather PLUS can be found in the first comment of this post.

INVEST 97-L LOCATED OVER THE NORTHERN GULF: It appears that we may see tropical development occur over the northern Gulf over the next day or two.

An area of low pressure, designated Invest 97-L by the National Hurricane Center, is producing persistent shower and thunderstorm activity over the northern Gulf. The actual low pressure system is currently located about 125 miles to the south of the coast of southeastern Louisiana.

The environmental conditions around Invest 97-L are actually favorable for development and strengthening of a tropical system & because of this, I think that it has a good shot of becoming a depression or Tropical Storm Eduardo as soon as later Monday. One factor that may inhibit this system from becoming a significant tropical system is time. It is expected that Invest 97-L will be moving onshore along the upper Texas coast or over southwestern Louisiana during the day on Tuesday.

I am also frequently updating our Crown Weather PLUS subscribers about the progress of Invest 97-L. Want to stay updated on this system? Become a subscriber!! The link to learn more and to subscribe to Crown Weather PLUS can be found in the first comment of this post. Your subscriptions and support keeps us in business.

08/27/2026

Posted Midday Thursday 8/27/2026: Tropical Storm Dolly has formed out over the central Tropical Atlantic. It's time as a tropical storm is expected to be short-lived as it'll be running into a wall of strong wind shear by Saturday.

Because of this, I expect that Dolly will weaken quickly as it approaches and moves across the northern Leeward Islands. In fact, I think that Dolly will have weakened to a robust and strong tropical wave by the time it reaches the northern Leeward Islands on Sunday & not even be a depression or a tropical storm.

Even though Dolly is expected to weaken to a strong tropical wave by this weekend, it will still bring heavy rain and gusty winds to the Leeward Islands from Saturday night through Sunday. Heavy rain and some gusty winds are then expected to affect the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola from Sunday into Monday.

LOOKING AHEAD - Based on all of the available data today, I'm leaning towards the scenario of Dolly not developing again when it reaches the southwestern North Atlantic and the Gulf late next week and next weekend.

That being said, I will be watching this system no matter what it does & should I start seeing increasing signals of redevelopment, I will definitely let you know right away if you are a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber.

Do you want to track Tropical Storm Dolly and whatever else the rest of this hurricane season throws at us? You can do that by becoming a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber!! The link to become a subscriber can be found in the first comment. Your subscriptions and support keeps us in business.

08/24/2026

Posted Monday Afternoon 8/24/2026: A strong tropical wave now pushing off of the west coast of Africa has a chance to develop into a tropical depression over the next few days before the environmental conditions become highly unfavorable for development by late this week and this weekend.

Beyond this, if this tropical wave survives the strong wind shear environment in the tropical Atlantic during this weekend into early next week, then it could find itself in a more favorable environment for not only development, but also for strengthening over the southwestern North Atlantic during the middle and later parts of next week. This will be something to keep an eye on, especially once we approach next week.

For now though, this tropical wave is nothing to be concerned or worried about. More than likely, this wave will pass far enough north of the Lesser Antilles and the eastern Caribbean to not be a concern early next week. Also, we are more than a week away from this wave possibly reaching the southwestern North Atlantic where it might find itself in a more favorable environment for development. Because of this, there is more than enough time to keep track of this wave.

Do you want to track this strong tropical wave & other types of tropical weather with us? You can do that by becoming a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber!! The link to become a subscriber can be found in the first comment. Your subscriptions and support keeps us in business.

08/14/2026

Posted Friday 8/14/2026: Here is the latest on Tropical Storm Lala & how it's expected to impact the Hawaiian Islands this weekend:

Lala is currently a 60 mph tropical storm and is now about 400 miles to the east-southeast of the Big Island of Hawaii. It is fully expected that Lala will become a hurricane by later today or tonight as it edges closer to the Big Island.

An area of high pressure is located to the north of the tropical storm and it will help to steer Lala in a west-northwestward track over the next few days. This will lead to the core of Lala to track right over the Big Island of Hawaii on Saturday as a hurricane. If this actually happens, it would be the first recorded direct hurricane hit on the Big Island. After Lala tracks over the Big Island, it will continue tracking towards the west-northwest and travel to the south of the rest of the Hawaiian Islands as a tropical storm during Saturday night and Sunday.

It cannot be stated enough, this is going to be a significant storm in terms of impact across all of the Hawaiian Islands. Lala also has the potential to be the most significant storm for the Big Island since Tropical Storm Iselle in 2014 & it’s quite plausible that Lala will be much more impactful.

FORECAST IMPACTS FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS: Lala will be a triple threat for the Hawaiian Islands – heavy rain with flooding, strong winds of tropical storm to hurricane force & extremely rough surf & very large waves.

RAINFALL: Up to 25 inches of rain is expected to accumulate on the eastern side of the Big Island, on the east slope of Mauna Loa, south of Hilo in Puna & just inland from Kilauea. On the opposite side of the Big Island, only 1 to 4 inches of rain are expected across the Kona region due to rain shadowing from Mauna Kea and Mauna Loa.

The eastern side of Maui is likely to receive upwards of a foot of rain from Lala. The other islands of the Hawaiian Island chain are likely to receive 3 to 6 inches of total rainfall from Lala.

Very significant amounts of flooding and mudslides are likely across the eastern side of the Big Island and the eastern side of Maui.

WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected to occur to begin across the Big Island by early Saturday and continue into Saturday afternoon. It should be noted that the winds at the top of east-facing mountains will likely be 30 percent stronger than the 75 mph winds that are expected at the lower elevations. This means that 100 mph winds are a strong possibility at the top of east-facing mountains on the Big Island.

On Maui, Kahoolawe, Lanai and Molokai, tropical storm conditions are expected during Saturday afternoon and Saturday night. Tropical storm conditions are then expected across Oahu and Kauai during Saturday night and Sunday.

STORM SURGE, HIGH SURF & LARGE WAVES: A storm surge of up to 1 to 3 feet above ground level are expected this weekend across the entire Hawaiian Island chain. In addition to this, extremely rough surf, treacherous marine conditions and large waves that will likely reach at least 15 feet are expected along the east-facing beaches across all of the Hawaiian Islands this weekend.

Finally, the weather is expected to return to normal across all of the Hawaiian Islands by Monday as Lala pulls away from the islands.

Residents and vacationers across the Hawaiian Islands need to be prepared and ready for tropical storm and hurricane conditions throughout this weekend. For the Big Island, the weather is expected to deteriorate rapidly as soon as late tonight. For the other islands, the weather will begin deteriorating rapidly by Saturday morning. This means that there isn’t a whole lot of time to complete your preparations for this storm.

08/12/2026

Posted Wednesday 8/12/2026: We are tracking three systems for our Crown Weather PLUS clients.

- Invest 92L that's located over the east-central Tropical Atlantic. Some minor development into a depression is possible over the next couple of days or so before it reaches the Lesser Antilles. This system is expected to track across the Lesser Antilles this weekend where it'll bring some much needed rain to the central and northern Lesser Antilles, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. After that, extremely strong wind shear will impact this system & cause it to dissipate in the eastern Caribbean.

- A Tropical Disturbance is located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic that does need to be watched closely in the coming days for possible development. I do think that this disturbance does have a shot of making it all the way across the Atlantic reaching the southwestern North Atlantic late next week.

- The Hawaiian Islands are likely to be impacted by a tropical storm or perhaps even a hurricane this weekend. A tropical disturbance now located about 900 miles to the east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands is expected to become a tropical storm as soon as late tonight or during the day on Thursday.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS should be closely monitoring the progress of this system. There is the very real threat for a tropical storm & possibly even a hurricane impact from the Big Island to Maui, Oahu and Kauai this weekend.

Heavy rain from this system is expected to begin impacting the Big Island on Friday with this heavy rain spreading westward across Maui on Saturday & then across Lanai, Molokai, Oahu and Kauai on Sunday. The heavy rain is likely to produce flooding and mudslides all across the Hawaiian Islands.

In addition to this, strong winds & high waves will impact the Hawaiian Islands throughout this weekend.

BOTTOM LINE IS THAT residents and vacationers in the Hawaiian Islands should start preparing for tropical storm or even hurricane conditions that will occur this weekend.

Do you want to track with us the three systems that we're watching closely? You can do that by becoming a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber!! The link to become a subscriber can be found in the first comment. Your subscriptions and support keeps us in business.

08/11/2026

Posted Tuesday 8/11/2026: *** THERE IS A POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM & HURRICANE THREAT FOR THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THIS WEEKEND ***

I don’t usually cover Pacific tropical systems (I normally cover tropical systems in the Atlantic, Caribbean & Gulf), but, I will be over the next few days as it appears that the Hawaiian Islands has the very real potential to be impacted by tropical storm or hurricane conditions this weekend.

A tropical disturbance, designated Invest 93C by the National Hurricane Center, is located about 1000 miles to the southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Right now, this system is large and disorganized, however, the model guidance are in good agreement in forecasting this disturbance to develop into a tropical storm (name will be Lala) over the next couple of days or so. The model guidance are also in good agreement in showing this system heading for the Hawaiian Islands, but the exact track is uncertain.

It should be noted that the model guidance seems to point towards the possibility of this system being a tropical storm or even a borderline hurricane when it affects the Hawaiian Islands this weekend. This means that strong winds, heavy rain and very rough surf could impact multiple islands of the Hawaiian Islands this weekend and all interests on the Hawaiian Islands should closely monitor the latest updates surrounding this possible threat.

08/10/2026

Posted Late Monday Morning 8/10/2026: I am keeping close tabs on a healthy looking tropical disturbance that's located over the eastern Tropical Atlantic. Based on my analysis, I do think that there is a decent chance that this system will not only become a tropical depression, but probably will become a tropical storm by later this week as it moves into the central Tropical Atlantic.

FOR THOSE OF YOU IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS, THE VIRGIN ISLANDS & PUERTO RICO - I do think that this disturbance could track close enough to the northern Leeward Islands late this weekend so that it brings some much needed rainfall to the Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico this weekend into early next week.

Do you want to track this disturbance and other tropical weather with us? You can do that by becoming a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber!! The link to become a subscriber can be found in the first comment. Your subscriptions and support keeps us in business.

08/07/2026

Posted Late Friday Morning 8/7/2026: While the Atlantic Basin is currently quiet & no tropical development is expected this weekend into early next week, there is the possibility for some tropical development to occur over the eastern & central Tropical Atlantic later next week & next weekend.

A tropical wave is expected to push off of the coast of Africa around Tuesday & it may slowly develop as it heads westward from the eastern Tropical Atlantic into the central Tropical Atlantic during the later parts of next week and next weekend.

Beyond this, I don’t see this tropical wave surviving as a developing tropical system much beyond 50-55 West Longitude. This is due to the expectation that there will be unfavorable environmental conditions from strong wind shear west of 55 West Longitude. Because of this, I do not think that this wave poses any significant threat to any land areas.

Want to be "in the know" regarding all things tropical weather. You can do that by becoming a Crown Weather PLUS subscriber!! The link to become a subscriber can be found in the first comment. Your subscriptions and support keeps us in business.

07/22/2026

Posted Late Wednesday Morning 7/22/2026: Even though the center of Tropical Storm Bertha will be moving across southern Louisiana the rest of today, its impacts across southern Louisiana and southern Mississippi will be very limited. In fact, high heat and humidity will be more of a threat to southern Louisiana and southern Mississippi than the tropical storm.

It is possible that the center of Bertha could reform tonight into Thursday closer to the deep convection that's occurring over the northern Gulf. If this does occur, then it would likely lead to Bertha maintaining its tropical storm strength and not weaken. This means that tropical storm conditions could then occur along parts of the middle and lower Texas coast during Thursday into Thursday night.

This all means that areas along the middle and lower Texas coast should keep an eye on the progress of Bertha as it could bring you some tropical storm conditions (maybe wind gusts of up to 40-50 mph) & locally heavy rainfall throughout Thursday and Thursday night. This includes areas from Matagorda Bay southward through Corpus Christi to South Padre Island.

BOTTOM LINE IS THAT the impacts from Bertha along the northern Gulf Coast the rest of today will be limited to none. The impacts from Bertha along the middle and lower Texas coast on Thursday into Thursday night should be fairly minimal & frankly any heavy rain that occurs from Matagorda Bay to South Padre Island will be very welcome.

Even with all that said, we are still closely tracking Tropical Storm Bertha & are frequently updating our Crown Weather subscribers. We strongly encourage you to become a Crown Weather subscriber!! The link to subscribe can be found in the first comment of this post.

A subscription to Crown Weather PLUS is well worth the money & you'd be supporting a very small & independent weather forecasting business.

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