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The offense-defense balance is shifting in each of the 6 warfighting domains. Interactions between the domains could further reinforce the defense. What does the shift to defense dominance mean for the Nation?
More praise for Claudia Hauer's (St. John's College) 'Strategic Humanism: Lessons on Leadership from the Ancient Greeks'! Check out Christopher Kuennen's excellent review of the book in Joint Force Quarterly from National Defense University Press - NDU Press:
Simplicity: A Tool for Working with Complexity and Chaos
"If you can't explain it simply, you don't understand it well enough."
- Anonymous
The U.S. Army, and joint force as a whole, tend to add processes, checklists, and complexity in their attempts to provide doctrinal solutions for generating understanding. Dale Eikmeier, an instructor at the U.S. Army Command and General Staff College, provides multiple examples of this in the linked National Defense University Press - NDU Press article. To combat our trained tendency to complicate things, Eikmeier recommends adopting heuristics to achieve simplification with the end goal of promoting agile thinking and increasing the speed of decision making.
HEURISTICS DEFINED:
- Recognition or Availability Heuristic: a tool that aids problem-solving and decision-making by making already stored information more easily recalled (recall tool).
- Representative Heuristic: a tool that aids decision-making by providing a mental prototype to compare with the current situation (model for comparison).
HOW HEURISTICS WORK:
1. Limited Memory - We all have limited memory. Packaging information into manageable, easily remembered bundles using an availability heuristic enables people to rapidly recall the information they need, even during a crisis.
2. Complexity-Induced Procrastination - Using a framework or model, a representative heuristic, enables people to overcome the inertia commonly associated with boatloads of complex information and jumpstart problem-solving and decision-making. These simple models prevent people from becoming lost in the details of laborious processes without grasping the big picture.
3. Distraction Caused by Overload - This is simply recognizing that the answer to information overload is less, not more.
BENEFITS OF HEURISTICS AND SIMPLICITY:
- Reduce complexity.
- Provide a manageable set of choices for action.
- Combat "paralysis by analysis."
- Facilitate informed, timely, and acceptable problem-solving and decision-making solutions.
CAUTIONS AND LIMITATIONS:
- An unthinking use of heuristics can lead to bias and poor judgment.
- Tendency to oversimplify that which is not actually simple.
**To overcome these limitations, understand how to use heuristics as well as which biases they can lead to. Pair this understanding with critical thinking.
**When time allows, conduct a more detailed study of complex environments and problems using heuristics as a start point only, then reassess and adjust accordingly.
FAMILIAR EXAMPLES: METT-C, OCOKA, DIME, PMESII-PT
LESS FAMILIAR EXAMPLES: RAFT (Relationships, Actors, Functions, and Tensions), RCP (Remove, Change, and Provide)
Remember, the key to time-sensitive decision-making in complex and chaotic situations is simplicity, not complexity. Use heuristics as one of many tools to accomplish this simplification!
This article has a lot more to unpack. I recommend you read it completely and save it for future reference and as a tool for a future LPD. Read the whole article here:
https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Media/News/News-Article-View/Article/1737131/simplicity-a-tool-for-working-with-complexity-and-chaos/fbclid/IwAR1qo-2Y1g7qC1wLdQBPLONHYXCSSFTVI6va0QHyCoJ5xSxVe31n8DKZZJo/
What are some heuristics you have used?
Do you agree with the author's thesis?
U.S. Army Combined Arms Center 1st Medical Brigade 70H Medical Operations Officers 44th Medical Brigade 62ND MEDICAL BRIGADE 65th Medical Brigade Assistant Corps Chief for Reserve Affairs, Medical Service Corps Medical Service Corps Chief U.S. Army Mission Command Center of Excellence Mission Command Training Program U.S. Air Force Medical Service - AFMS Doctrine Man The Company Leader Silver Caduceus Association
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New from National Defense University Press - NDU Press at the National Defense University is PRISM Vol. 8, No. 3 (January 2020). This issue addresses impact to the global security environment of emerging disruptive technologies, including artificial intelligence, machine learning, quantum computing, and neuroscience.
https://ndupress.ndu.edu/Media/News/Article/2054383/prism-vol-8-no-3-january-2020/
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What's next for Great Power Competition? Explore the evolving national security paradigm in #JFQ94 with National Defense University and National Defense University Press - NDU Press.
JFQ Reviews LikeWar - Click below to read! National Defense University Press - NDU Press National Defense University
Strategy, Evolution, and War. Click below to read the review! #JFQ94 National Defense University Press - NDU Press National Defense University Press - NDU Press
Miles and Miller analyze the new Great Power Paradigm. Read more in #JFQ94 National Defense University Press - NDU Press National Defense University
The United States must eliminate its nuclear deterrence say-do gap by operationalizing the 2018 NPR ultimately delivering the tailored and flexible deterrence posture needed to succeed in the 21st century. Read more in ##JFQ94 National Defense University Press - NDU Press National Defense University
Disruptive innovations for ground combat - Drones and the atmospheric littoral. Click below to read in #JFQ94. National Defense University Press - NDU Press National Defense University
Semiconductors and the tale of the Lightning and the Falcon. Click below to read the latest from #JFQ94! National Defense University Press - NDU Press National Defense University
