09/18/2026
“TIMES THEY ARE A-CHANGIN”—And Not for the Better
Residential density and affordability have been a hot topic in the city, one in which city residents have been left on the sidelines. Commitments to residents ignored. Concerns expressed left unaddressed. City Council is focused on increasing residential density at the expense of the city’s unique character and quality of life. In their minds, it will make the city more affordable. However, the projects being approved do not address the affordability issue.
Recently City Council has approved the construction of roughly 630 apartment units. Of these only approximately 70 units are being called affordable at a rate of $1,000 to $1,200 a month. Affording these apartments would require a salary starting at $48,000. The remainder are listed at market rate which averages about $1,600 for a single bedroom to $2,400 for a 3-bedroom unit. The salary requirements are approximately $70,000 to $100,000 and would not be considered affordable housing.
At the same time the City Council approved just over 500 townhouse units. The base prices for these are given at market value, which is a range from $450,000 to $550,000. The salary needed to support the purchase of these units starts at $110,000, which would not be considered affordable.
Another factor negatively affecting housing affordability was pointed out in a presentation by city planning staff regarding demolition of existing housing. It has been reported that demolition usually involves the city’s smaller, more affordable, housing stock, which is being replaced with bigger and more expensive homes.
This last point highlights the fallacy in council’s thinking that building more leads to affordability. Proximity to the Northern Virginia housing market, land, and construction costs are much bigger price factors that cannot be overcome by just more density.
Back in 2023 Historic District residents near the train station came out against townhomes being built in a parking lot near the train station. On a 4-3 vote City Council voted against the project by refusing to remove the land from the Railroad Overlay district and its restrictions. Concerns were expressed by members of City Council and the community regarding the density, height, and the negative impact on the Historic District.
In January 2025 a new City Council voted to do away with the Railroad Overlay District altogether and in April approved the project, ignoring the concerns expressed in 2023. While no information was provided on the cost of the townhomes, based on the current market they will be in the $500,000 range. Again, NOT what would be considered affordable.
The latest project presented to the Architectural Review Board would bring a massive four-story commercial and condo complex to 308–318 Charles Street. By building out almost the entire lot, this development will completely dwarf the neighboring homes. A structure of this size is entirely out of character for our Historic District.
While this project is still in the planning stages, City Council is taking actions that will ensure higher density in this area. During its last meeting, the Council moved forward with plans to lower parking minimums for multi-family and mixed-use projects: cutting them near transit stations (within a half mile) and reducing them by 20 percent everywhere else. This will exacerbate an already existing parking problem in the neighborhood adjacent to the train station.
While this change was directed by the General Assembly (HB3888), the city retains some flexibility in establishing regulations for the Historic District—a point that went unaddressed by City Council.
Upon learning the proposal for redevelopment of 308-318 Charles Street, Inform Fredericksburg sent an e-mail to the Mayor and City Council asking whether the project as proposed met their vision for Fredericksburg. Only Councilor Will Mackintosh responded, saying he would not comment on a project not yet before City Council but stated that the city needs more housing. We sent him a follow-up e-mail asking him to elaborate on his statement about housing. He did not respond.
The City Council continues to pursue a strategy that compromises the city's distinct identity and livability without actually solving the affordability crisis. The irony is that City Council is building the exact environment our northern neighbors are fleeing. If this keeps up, Fredericksburg will finally become affordable—simply because no one will want to live here anymore.